Us Politics · resolved market
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1324f2f9d9bb179df84ba70d1d2785dc58f3bfcfe632038579c97e3eb07271d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,117,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,342,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,117,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1340…13e3backed Yes | 11c | 162,284$17,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,823.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…b85cbacked Yes | 5c | 158,659$8,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,275.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…a30abacked Yes | 6c | 121,649$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,292.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 94,772$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.35 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ec…1b42backed Yes | 9c | 86,120$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 73,970$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.54 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Yes | 11c | 67,677$7,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,736 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…419dbacked Yes | 0c | 66,300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8096…762cbacked Yes | 14c | 65,145$9,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,368.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…2842backed Yes | 8c | 63,910$5,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,059.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 1c | 61,561$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.81 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Yes | 0c | 60,010$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 9c | 58,397$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 0c | 55,567$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…27e9backed Yes | 9c | 53,761$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Yes | 14c | 52,010$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,032.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 1c | 48,037$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…8852backed Yes | 0c | 47,209$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…50dfbacked Yes | 12c | 42,050$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,891.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 1c | 41,799$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.83 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…97f8backed Yes | 1c | 39,102$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 1c | 37,271$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 1c | 35,149$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…199fbacked Yes | 1c | 30,388$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a8…34f5backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…a440backed Yes | 0c | 25,643$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 24,622$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.28 | 93 | 1.1%1 W · 92 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -94.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 24,530$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…5e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 24,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 22,800$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.25 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 18c | 22,244$4,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 0c | 22,210$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 1c | 21,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 20c | 20,650$4,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…0f56backed Yes | 0c | 20,629$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 20,477$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.91 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Yes | 21c | 20,299$4,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 16c | 20,004$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.87 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…498fbacked Yes | 7c | 19,880$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 2c | 19,577$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Yes | 32c | 19,236$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Yes | 10c | 18,388$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…e2ffbacked Yes | 1c | 18,382$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…38e2backed Yes | 15c | 17,920$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 4c | 16,934$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…8c6bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,515$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7d…79cebacked Yes | 0c | 16,483$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 5c | 16,415$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 3c | 16,410$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 1c | 16,161$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…a1d5backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 14,580$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.62 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…77f0backed Yes | 1c | 14,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yes | 17c | 14,267$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 14,050$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.4 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…52eebacked Yes | 1c | 13,799$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 14c | 12,891$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 2c | 12,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…97d6backed Yes | 17c | 11,871$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…33d7backed Yes | 1c | 11,614$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 71c | 11,601$8,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db6…9842backed Yes | 1c | 11,369$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…d4c2backed Yes | 1c | 11,128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 8c | 10,975$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…b7e5backed Yes | 3c | 10,404$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…637ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes | 15c | 9,960$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.61 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0377…810ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,846$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a3…6c03backed Yes | 21c | 9,722$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 17c | 9,500$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…3cc7backed Yes | 1c | 9,410$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 15c | 9,095$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.47 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…dc4fbacked Yes | 11c | 9,011$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 79c | 8,925$7,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.42 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…983abacked Yes | 0c | 8,600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 65c | 8,585$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.43 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…7a54backed Yes | 1c | 8,287$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…b32abacked Yes | 21c | 8,234$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 73c | 8,120$5,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…1ed5backed Yes | 4c | 7,977$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 7,785$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.21 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9657backed Yes | 28c | 7,771$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb0backed Yes | 3c | 7,579$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…b04abacked Yes | 1c | 7,483$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…7411backed Yes | 1c | 7,375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 28c | 7,194$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,998$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 7c | 6,585$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.39 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 17c | 6,410$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.65 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 28c | 6,025$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…5e26backed Yes | 2c | 5,999$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 25c | 5,909$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.