MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3955f03494e410ca1ea48642532865ce6c0f6505e1aaa65e4aff5afe85df775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mets | 61c | 26,375$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,375 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Orioles | 47c | 26,231$12,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,328.55 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mets | 53c | 19,057$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.61 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 35c | 18,999$6,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,694.4 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 42c | 17,994$7,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,518.89 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 54c | 17,336$9,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.42 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 46c | 16,864$7,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,726.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 58c | 9,543$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.59 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 51c | 9,029$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.52 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 56c | 8,649$4,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.86 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 5c | 7,879$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,474.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 46c | 7,678$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562.01 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 40c | 7,533$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.04 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 46c | 5,555$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.24 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Mets | 70c | 5,463$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.96 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 38c | 5,313$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.55 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 57c | 5,305$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.11 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 46c | 4,882$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mets | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 50c | 4,427$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 54c | 4,236$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.56 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 46c | 3,577$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.56 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 48c | 3,188$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.3 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mets | 54c | 3,162$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.78 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Mets | 54c | 2,619$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Orioles | 46c | 2,573$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.62 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Orioles | 12c | 2,549$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 53c | 2,518$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.52 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mets | 27c | 2,396$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.4 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 56c | 2,365$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 52c | 2,250$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 46c | 2,067$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 45c | 2,024$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.56 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mets | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.89 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Mets | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…64dabacked Mets | 56c | 1,814$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…8aa8backed Orioles | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…aadabacked Orioles | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7193backed Mets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Mets | 56c | 1,739$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Mets | 74c | 1,526$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 46c | 1,238$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.65 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 53c | 1,222$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mets | 53c | 1,220$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.18 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 47c | 1,180$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Mets | 53c | 1,100$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Orioles | 5c | 1,091$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 29c | 1,060$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.53 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Orioles | 44c | 1,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Orioles | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Mets | 30c | 976.45$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.11 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Mets | 54c | 947.7$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.94 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Mets | 35c | 929.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mets | 54c | 923.93$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.01 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 41c | 837.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 58c | 816$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.72 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Mets | 54c | 781.06$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.19 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 47c | 760.13$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.26 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 53c | 759.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.19 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mets | 69c | 746.25$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.37 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Mets | 54c | 733.36$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 49c | 643.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 44c | 639.4$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Orioles | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 34c | 609.78$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.45 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 48c | 595.78$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Orioles | 44c | 589.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 46c | 554.97$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 55c | 549.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.14 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mets | 56c | 540.8$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 22c | 531.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Orioles | 51c | 508.12$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 48c | 506.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Mets | 64c | 506.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mets | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Mets | 53c | 498.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.1 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mets | 55c | 498$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 66c | 487.76$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Mets | 30c | 479.35$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Mets | 72c | 474.21$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.78 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 53c | 471.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Mets | 54c | 456.48$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 58c | 440.24$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.8 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Mets | 54c | 425.57$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…b168backed Orioles | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 38c | 422.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 44c | 421.02$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 61c | 413.81$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 22c | 400$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Orioles | 44c | 398.04$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.