Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7191a4f50aaffe628d6e0841c659434ec6c854adc3a2442ca9249b5de191509
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $624,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 38c | 44,895$16,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,012.98 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 58c | 30,405$17,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,504.84 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 30c | 29,873$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,934.23 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed Yes | 31c | 14,578$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 21c | 11,100$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 43c | 10,249$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.6 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 68c | 9,571$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 39c | 7,794$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.43 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 56c | 7,123$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.99 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked No | 41c | 6,357$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed Yes | 29c | 5,732$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 30c | 3,979$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.89 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae3…75cfbacked Yes | 20c | 3,817$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 77c | 3,534$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.52 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…05d3backed No | 62c | 3,515$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 23c | 3,361$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.55 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 42c | 3,035$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.1 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 62c | 2,539$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 19c | 2,513$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked No | 67c | 2,499$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.56 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 20c | 2,400$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…7fddbacked Yes | 47c | 2,175$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…5ebcbacked No | 78c | 2,139$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…3ff3backed Yes | 47c | 2,111$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…7f67backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…e4e0backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 50c | 1,970$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 28c | 1,964$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 56c | 1,749$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…0e69backed No | 51c | 1,730$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 48c | 1,532$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…f7c4backed Yes | 48c | 1,487$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked No | 80c | 1,300$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 62c | 1,081$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…67f8backed Yes | 48c | 1,037$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 28c | 1,015$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.32 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 28c | 1,008$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 40c | 1,001$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…d776backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 51c | 999.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.71 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 23c | 802$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.55 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…264cbacked No | 21c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c1…99fbbacked Yes | 23c | 662.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +292.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 47c | 628.53$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.23 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 32c | 612.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 60c | 610$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.46 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 56c | 582$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.88 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa32d…4826backed No | 66c | 556.85$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…18d9backed Yes | 48c | 528$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 53c | 500$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d6…4a00backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes | 23c | 500$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 50c | 500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed No | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 30c | 415.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed No | 56c | 410.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e7fabacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 62c | 399.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 385.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.23 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…04e2backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 365.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…4b95backed Yes | 25c | 360$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…ebc5backed No | 56c | 350$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…8186backed No | 57c | 330$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 42c | 328.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 26c | 326.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.26 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…fbecbacked No | 43c | 320$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3943…b095backed No | 77c | 320$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c84bbacked No | 53c | 312.27$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…f08ebacked No | 79c | 299$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 69c | 294$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 32c | 282.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa20e…b72abacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 31c | 249.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…4272backed No | 76c | 241$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed No | 23c | 237.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…c33ebacked Yes | 36c | 230$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…758abacked Yes | 24c | 201$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.