Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df04a41e4b82229673f8b48a963fea3a85504aeecdb6f0c98b0693c8ac695cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $529,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 49c | 35,642$17,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,461.41 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 44c | 28,429$12,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,618.34 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 55c | 27,348$14,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,383.42 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 59c | 18,835$11,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,757.38 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 52c | 18,022$9,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.1 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 35c | 16,249$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,764.46 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 43c | 14,027$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,023.39 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 65c | 13,931$9,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.97 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 52c | 12,149$6,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,875.21 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 42c | 11,588$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.05 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…bb4abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 48c | 9,000$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 47c | 7,895$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 43c | 7,800$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 62c | 7,205$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…9d38backed No | 57c | 6,120$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…1743backed No | 41c | 4,849$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 53c | 3,955$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.55 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 39c | 3,817$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.2 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…14dcbacked Yes | 46c | 3,734$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked No | 48c | 3,708$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.55 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…dfcabacked Yes | 51c | 3,300$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,258$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 14c | 2,937$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.73 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 38c | 2,631$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.92 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb068…80a2backed Yes | 43c | 2,515$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 32c | 2,465$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.3 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 40c | 2,169$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +173.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,835$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.01 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…fa5dbacked No | 48c | 1,811$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Yes | 64c | 1,760$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed No | 41c | 1,675$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0ff0backed No | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked No | 54c | 1,290$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 36c | 1,280$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.68 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,197$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed No | 48c | 1,089$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…de32backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 51c | 1,009$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.59 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 32c | 973.47$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…7d7bbacked No | 72c | 953.65$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 36c | 928$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 37c | 899.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed No | 44c | 830.87$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…1dd4backed No | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 41c | 749.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 41c | 699.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.55 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 68c | 640.24$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 49c | 640$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…4193backed Yes | 56c | 607.43$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…807cbacked No | 46c | 582.54$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…dd3cbacked No | 51c | 521$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…95e7backed No | 60c | 501.95$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 55c | 500$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 63c | 470$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 47c | 449$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 22c | 447.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 35c | 402$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…4815backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 42c | 383.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.01 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…42e7backed No | 53c | 380$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 51c | 371.56$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.66 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e2…ebc5backed No | 29c | 362$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…fef0backed No | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…efa0backed Yes | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daa…900ebacked No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…8070backed No | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…67b3backed Yes | 28c | 314.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d34cbacked No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked No | 29c | 311.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed No | 47c | 305.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…8186backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa20e…b72abacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 51c | 292.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 69c | 291.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…fbf5backed No | 22c | 286.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…22a4backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…9ab6backed No | 36c | 280.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…4f06backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…6568backed No | 38c | 265.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…6e2abacked Yes | 58c | 248.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 36c | 245.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…7148backed Yes | 67c | 240.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 15c | 235.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…05d3backed No | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.