TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd02…aba7backed No27c49,485$13,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,475.416124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes65c49,322$31,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,339.882544%11 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No35c36,516$12,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,780.6337745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed No6c13,788$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.131333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fd3…e662backed No16c10,760$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.413813.2%5 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes73c10,735$7,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.4263835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a1…1149backed Yes70c10,193$7,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed No24c10,113$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.215514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked No25c9,071$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.4287828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed No32c9,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8802548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d9…653ebacked Yes75c7,859$5,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.842142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes70c7,435$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.4855032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes68c6,070$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.371346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c4,310$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…96e2backed No22c3,124$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No27c3,099$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.742065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a38…bfe8backed No34c2,628$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.512431.5%39 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e9…fc9fbacked No23c2,428$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.337423%17 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cb…fbf5backed No2c2,419$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.632142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d4…831cbacked Yes53c2,210$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0281136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed No29c2,171$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.64231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked No12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.951513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-48.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c1,743$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.464812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x90db…0e69backed No33c1,500$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.291241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed No27c1,319$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.35339.1%3 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a49…7447backed Yes66c1,249$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.162227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-58.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc822…3045backed No34c1,244$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.471323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…2556backed No12c1,200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462313%3 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No34c1,043$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.224257.1%24 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No13c1,000$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5111442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1c2b…de3abacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd025…9d8bbacked Yes67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7689…2fa9backed No26c974$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.83452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Yes68c896$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7021backed Yes65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3581…3c1bbacked Yes64c800$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2852025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No17c730.55$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.916527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2453925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes68c604$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.167229.2%21 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Yes79c567$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.072263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274a…3f46backed Yes65c502.67$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed No41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb9…807cbacked No38c483.63$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.242450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No10c473.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2111619%22 W · 94 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0864…b3d0backed Yes67c448.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…096abacked Yes54c402.57$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb21…8145backed Yes62c400$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd602…0105backed Yes64c384.61$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.613100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9118…e9dabacked Yes72c378.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.972035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9e…6823backed No37c377.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked No41c375.54$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.992850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No22c320$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.321236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2826…f448backed No8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57fd…9ab6backed No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…4f06backed No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a9…22a4backed No33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…fbecbacked Yes59c255$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.55747.4%27 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf343…576ebacked No39c249.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0365…3c34backed No26c249.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x323b…9fe7backed No36c247.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.462665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18f…294cbacked Yes71c214.79$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7615754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca21…c84bbacked No11c180$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes76c180$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a0…ee55backed No34c145.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebf…bb60backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.869100%9 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6def…7096backed No10c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick39cpaid-84.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd031…b594backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873941%16 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea2…0b44backed Yes66c125.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes73c119.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.456642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae84…2419backed Yes71c115.3$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fa…2297backed Yes70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed No32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c6…13ccbacked Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…4368backed Yes64c76.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Yes71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.317953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ca…6f9fbacked Yes69c59.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…c0e9backed No17c59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.034017.5%7 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b86…53d7backed Yes70c54.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…8a13backed No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58540%34 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7b…babcbacked Yes64c45.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…054cbacked Yes67c44.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.612524%6 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1c…4b95backed Yes68c41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+173.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac99…1380backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…0358backed No34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.156188.5%54 W · 7 L+16.9wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+55.3%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xcb5f…32f1backed Yes72c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4421…1a42backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01a2…070bbacked Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.028327.7%23 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.