Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc20719e40e2be8011fb19c26e168a05ea8e930b93b1157c8bc2b708e9935fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $433,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 18c | 47,701$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.46 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 65c | 22,479$14,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,784.21 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 8c | 13,983$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.4 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed Yes | 62c | 11,613$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,459.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 45c | 9,758$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,351.36 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 73c | 9,429$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.61 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 14c | 8,739$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.59 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…cffdbacked No | 4c | 8,448$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 5c | 5,587$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked No | 51c | 5,184$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.88 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 44c | 4,455$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 59c | 4,378$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.83 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 53c | 4,132$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.96 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 35c | 4,035$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.62 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 40c | 4,035$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 64c | 3,905$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.36 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 54c | 3,632$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.02 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed No | 5c | 3,135$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…929bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,940$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 54c | 2,866$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…0311backed Yes | 71c | 2,836$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 24c | 2,638$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 13c | 2,230$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 19c | 2,001$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.2 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 13c | 1,964$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 1,846$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.81 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 25c | 1,800$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.68 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 53c | 1,800$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes | 59c | 1,702$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked No | 30c | 1,500$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 6c | 1,320$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,167$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b6…9adfbacked No | 45c | 1,023$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.87 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked No | 41c | 1,000$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked No | 49c | 917.58$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…ddfebacked Yes | 49c | 889.36$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 35c | 864$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 862$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed Yes | 41c | 856.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed No | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 34c | 769.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.95 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 71c | 720$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 16c | 688.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 62c | 583.49$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 19c | 571.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c98…f380backed No | 41c | 555.12$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…0e69backed No | 54c | 541.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed No | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…2992backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 52c | 499.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.62 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 73c | 476.36$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…57e2backed No | 47c | 472.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…d930backed No | 45c | 451.18$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 9c | 450.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6938…e7fabacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 54c | 425.02$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…6823backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Yes | 68c | 396.38$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…beddbacked No | 33c | 393.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 27c | 390$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5988backed Yes | 71c | 385.79$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247a…608cbacked Yes | 45c | 381.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…b594backed Yes | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…ff7bbacked No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked No | 47c | 214.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked No | 8c | 201.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…22c9backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b67…f9dbbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…342ebacked No | 12c | 197.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9477…f416backed Yes | 80c | 185.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 37c | 182.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…7926backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…8b8dbacked No | 51c | 161.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed No | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…4351backed Yes | 80c | 144.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 58c | 119.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 34c | 104.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…2736backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.