TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,918,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,905,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,918,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde24…25a8backed Yes1c264,527$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.24590%0 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes0c97,472$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7223411.1%26 W · 208 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63e9…e1a1backed No71c88,349$62,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,968.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes49c76,409$37,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd02…aba7backed No55c64,305$35,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,960.36124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ae…15e0backed Yes6c35,498$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No58c30,712$17,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,753.3637745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…8938backed Yes1c28,491$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.32218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc4…da65backed Yes51c27,397$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,999.830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No77c26,673$20,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,127.077327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0856…dd1abacked Yes32c24,602$7,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.534555.6%25 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes0c23,533$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481360%0 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…58c2backed Yes0c23,529$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100506%3 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes12c20,035$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.63339.1%3 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes1c19,038$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.691216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes33c17,059$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,665.9712431.5%39 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c14,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes9c14,300$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.671333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked No67c13,815$9,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.051963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes34c12,216$4,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,098.3363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65eb…e197backed Yes1c11,067$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes2c10,891$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.86405%2 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3d…57f6backed Yes1c10,023$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9312…bde9backed Yes4c9,385$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes32c9,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c1…b742backed No29c8,652$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,151.52714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-50.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes33c8,277$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.127949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes30c7,952$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.995514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes64c7,766$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes3c7,535$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.632270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x751a…9ea1backed No61c6,954$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.735662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x323b…9fe7backed No69c6,691$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.972665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked No71c6,677$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.3487828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes4c6,583$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.368713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa520…dbc6backed Yes27c5,740$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d9…653ebacked Yes32c5,608$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaef…5d9cbacked Yes24c5,287$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Yes34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe700…7005backed No33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.991478.6%11 W · 3 L+6.9wins+0.50per pick29cpaid+200.1%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes38c4,756$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.565735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c2b…de3abacked No42c4,562$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.643259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e22…f021backed Yes75c4,511$3,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,394.421421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc18…ec17backed Yes43c4,463$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.212832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed No67c4,372$2,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.212548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes42c4,032$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-79.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd0…a0a1backed No70c3,981$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.934763.8%30 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf522…929bbacked Yes75c3,945$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…9d38backed No66c3,789$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd2…9429backed Yes36c3,736$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.7540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90db…0e69backed No57c3,637$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf662…3e84backed Yes6c3,405$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1d63backed No40c3,316$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.777229.2%21 W · 51 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc404…1af8backed Yes34c3,285$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…b41cbacked Yes3c3,129$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9b7bbacked No54c3,077$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.613452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc60…b320backed Yes3c3,050$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Yes30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a10…4d02backed Yes44c2,963$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes2c2,962$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50362.8%1 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-79.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4860…a6b7backed Yes2c2,780$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.23520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec35…cea9backed Yes38c2,659$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.78100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b3e…662cbacked No45c2,548$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.352850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes39c2,525$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.117018.6%13 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes18c2,512$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.253240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Yes28c2,472$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.376527.7%18 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da4…0311backed Yes42c2,409$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe162…8a81backed Yes4c2,323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes21c2,322$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.082532%8 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcce…3e55backed Yes1c2,213$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…8f91backed Yes27c2,199$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.43847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd321…a77fbacked No66c2,160$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.44763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes29c2,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6054231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes77c2,100$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6133060%18 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cf…75d1backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61b…31dfbacked No66c1,998$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.32875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes15c1,892$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.379824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes33c1,800$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.136642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4104…c5f6backed Yes36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x151a…95bbbacked Yes43c1,685$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.0260%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x758b…4351backed Yes11c1,547$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8f…df31backed Yes65c1,533$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf626…8a12backed Yes69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e4a…97cebacked Yes41c1,496$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-82.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No75c1,496$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.668470.2%59 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd389…8378backed Yes29c1,476$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.99195.3%1 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick21cpaid-86.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No39c1,375$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.656053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2826…f448backed No60c1,362$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.871136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed No76c1,324$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+174.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd078…1614backed Yes17c1,303$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.351816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e2…aec0backed Yes2c1,294$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6670…fe59backed Yes2c1,276$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No66c1,216$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.391752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes25c1,215$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes56c1,200$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6741435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ac…7935backed Yes25c1,198$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,189$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.981,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2beb…0a24backed Yes4c1,170$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c1,141$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.3964812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.