Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20220cad54b910b51cf12b1c836e3af89df76f1f2eabb240ce40aaafba36e057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,918,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,905,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,918,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 1c | 264,527$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.24 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 0c | 97,472$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.72 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed No | 71c | 88,349$62,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,968.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 49c | 76,409$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 55c | 64,305$35,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,960.3 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…15e0backed Yes | 6c | 35,498$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 58c | 30,712$17,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,753.36 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…8938backed Yes | 1c | 28,491$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…da65backed Yes | 51c | 27,397$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 26,673$20,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,127.07 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 32c | 24,602$7,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.53 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 23,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…58c2backed Yes | 0c | 23,529$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 12c | 20,035$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.63 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 1c | 19,038$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed Yes | 33c | 17,059$5,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,665.97 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 9c | 14,300$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.67 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 67c | 13,815$9,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.05 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 34c | 12,216$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.33 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 1c | 11,067$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 10,891$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.86 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…57f6backed Yes | 1c | 10,023$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…bde9backed Yes | 4c | 9,385$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 32c | 9,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed No | 29c | 8,652$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,151.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 33c | 8,277$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.12 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 30c | 7,952$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.99 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes | 64c | 7,766$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 7,535$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.63 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751a…9ea1backed No | 61c | 6,954$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.73 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed No | 69c | 6,691$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.97 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 71c | 6,677$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.34 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 4c | 6,583$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…dbc6backed Yes | 27c | 5,740$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,608$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…5d9cbacked Yes | 24c | 5,287$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 38c | 4,756$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.56 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2b…de3abacked No | 42c | 4,562$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.64 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…f021backed Yes | 75c | 4,511$3,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…ec17backed Yes | 43c | 4,463$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.21 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 67c | 4,372$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 42c | 4,032$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…a0a1backed No | 70c | 3,981$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.93 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…929bbacked Yes | 75c | 3,945$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…9d38backed No | 66c | 3,789$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd2…9429backed Yes | 36c | 3,736$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…0e69backed No | 57c | 3,637$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf662…3e84backed Yes | 6c | 3,405$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 40c | 3,316$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.77 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed Yes | 34c | 3,285$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…b41cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,129$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 54c | 3,077$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.61 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…b320backed Yes | 3c | 3,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a10…4d02backed Yes | 44c | 2,963$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 2c | 2,962$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…a6b7backed Yes | 2c | 2,780$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 38c | 2,659$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.78 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked No | 45c | 2,548$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 39c | 2,525$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.11 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,512$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 28c | 2,472$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.37 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…0311backed Yes | 42c | 2,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 4c | 2,323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…06eebacked Yes | 21c | 2,322$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.08 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed Yes | 1c | 2,213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 27c | 2,199$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked No | 66c | 2,160$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 29c | 2,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 77c | 2,100$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…75d1backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…31dfbacked No | 66c | 1,998$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,892$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,800$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.13 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…95bbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,685$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…4351backed Yes | 11c | 1,547$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed Yes | 65c | 1,533$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…97cebacked Yes | 41c | 1,496$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 75c | 1,496$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.66 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 29c | 1,476$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 39c | 1,375$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…f448backed No | 60c | 1,362$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd078…1614backed Yes | 17c | 1,303$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Yes | 2c | 1,294$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…fe59backed Yes | 2c | 1,276$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 66c | 1,216$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 25c | 1,215$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 56c | 1,200$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +57%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…7935backed Yes | 25c | 1,198$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,189$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 4c | 1,170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 1,141$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.39 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2300 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2700 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.