NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e626c87b205f65da6fc13bc0f11b7f0bf24c85bd7b61b21c6800871995fb9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 11,114$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,651.8 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Warriors | 41c | 10,904$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460.42 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 8,406$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.43 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Grizzlies | 45c | 4,833$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Warriors | 39c | 2,917$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Grizzlies | 47c | 2,736$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 2,589$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Warriors | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Warriors | 67c | 2,250$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 2,020$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.91 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Grizzlies | 76c | 1,663$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Warriors | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…6fc4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Warriors | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Warriors | 30c | 1,200$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,159$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Warriors | 26c | 1,106$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.97 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Grizzlies | 44c | 797.64$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Warriors | 42c | 795.79$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Warriors | 35c | 772.29$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.99 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Warriors | 30c | 733.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…8acfbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 720$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…9cccbacked Warriors | 35c | 720$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 56c | 679.64$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.04 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…09c4backed Warriors | 35c | 640$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed33…cdc9backed Grizzlies | 65c | 640$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Warriors | 37c | 504.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.84 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Grizzlies | 67c | 490.49$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.63 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Warriors | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Warriors | 34c | 379.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Grizzlies | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Warriors | 35c | 300.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Warriors | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Warriors | 47c | 299.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Warriors | 43c | 285.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Warriors | 35c | 274.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.29 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Warriors | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Warriors | 24c | 269.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.17 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Warriors | 38c | 265.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Warriors | 34c | 264.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Warriors | 77c | 261.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Grizzlies | 51c | 260$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Grizzlies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…80f4backed Warriors | 34c | 180.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Warriors | 35c | 151.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Warriors | 39c | 147.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Warriors | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…f1febacked Warriors | 38c | 139.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Grizzlies | 66c | 136.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Warriors | 37c | 135.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…6d8abacked Warriors | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Grizzlies | 8c | 132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Warriors | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…0fbebacked Warriors | 35c | 129.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Warriors | 40c | 128.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…5a04backed Warriors | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Grizzlies | 53c | 123.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Grizzlies | 66c | 120.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e582backed Grizzlies | 66c | 113.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Grizzlies | 37c | 110.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead8…2a86backed Grizzlies | 65c | 110$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Grizzlies | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Warriors | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Warriors | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 95.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 92.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…ae8ebacked Warriors | 42c | 89.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…0a04backed Grizzlies | 63c | 85.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…31cabacked Grizzlies | 64c | 84.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Warriors | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…987ebacked Warriors | 36c | 82.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…f330backed Grizzlies | 63c | 82.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…2fc2backed Grizzlies | 65c | 81.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 80.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a8babacked Grizzlies | 66c | 80.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c47…cd52backed Warriors | 37c | 79.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839a…434abacked Grizzlies | 59c | 76.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Warriors | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Grizzlies | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Warriors | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Grizzlies | 52c | 75.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…147ebacked Grizzlies | 65c | 74.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e60…4a9fbacked Grizzlies | 65c | 74.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Warriors | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bde…8679backed Warriors | 37c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Warriors | 43c | 69.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…752abacked Grizzlies | 65c | 69.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…de92backed Warriors | 36c | 69.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…cea1backed Warriors | 37c | 67.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 60.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.