Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34a8aa834927033bb6ac7bd96c508972611b826ca6d61e59c6d7d0cf3571d463

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,433,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,191,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,433,246 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac64…77d9backed No	4c	120,264$4,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,375.01	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No	2c	87,335$1,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,491.26	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	1c	64,942$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.3	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No	8c	51,606$4,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,090.81	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8be…c8d1backed No	0c	50,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No	1c	50,000$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.58	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No	1c	48,116$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.47	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No	4c	45,161$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.56	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c35…fcfebacked No	1c	44,963$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	3c	42,320$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,403.11	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…1f74backed No	14c	27,954$3,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,998.72	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87dd…003bbacked No	15c	27,000$4,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,101.88	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No	4c	19,767$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.21	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No	8c	18,501$1,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525.78	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc31…c181backed No	6c	17,643$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed No	13c	17,628$2,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,285.49	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x212d…fb0dbacked No	10c	17,560$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No	5c	17,354$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.9	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+11.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe79c…c715backed No	2c	16,835$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42f7…bab2backed No	2c	16,555$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd016…088dbacked No	21c	16,128$3,443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,442.91	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4181…de86backed No	1c	15,244$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.23	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No	4c	14,212$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.6	103	36.9%38 W · 65 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No	2c	14,126$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.59	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	5c	13,638$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.86	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdab8…b889backed No	7c	13,094$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fd…1873backed No	6c	13,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3a…deaabacked No	15c	11,939$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a47…021fbacked No	2c	11,485$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.28	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe188…a011backed No	5c	11,465$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x921f…8003backed No	12c	11,364$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.58	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-71%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No	8c	10,234$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$790.35	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed No	3c	10,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.02	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked No	2c	9,999$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.36	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	15cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9e4…af7cbacked No	5c	9,987$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9879…f735backed No	2c	9,964$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	5c	9,571$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.86	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8eaf…522ebacked No	0c	9,500$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d3…d9dcbacked No	10c	9,360$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$895.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed No	1c	9,095$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.74	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f85…8693backed No	1c	8,960$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.72	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No	12c	8,936$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x523d…2b5ebacked No	6c	8,706$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bf…a0b9backed No	8c	8,623$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f37…1410backed No	2c	8,420$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.68	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x952c…be27backed No	0c	7,769$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	7c	7,739$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.54	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa38…e13abacked No	6c	7,716$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45a4…9437backed No	15c	7,564$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e5…13febacked No	1c	7,340$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	7c	7,000$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7473…935bbacked No	7c	6,885$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b83…9318backed No	10c	6,779$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.55	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a62…f60dbacked No	3c	6,766$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d6…3424backed No	7c	6,739$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No	2c	6,416$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.52	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4a…935abacked No	8c	6,098$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5d…0b1abacked No	10c	6,003$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4275…6da8backed No	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x229d…ab14backed No	10c	5,901$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.94	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf604…36b3backed No	6c	5,812$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.65	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed No	2c	5,769$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b95…6141backed No	6c	5,725$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd02e…5badbacked No	7c	5,594$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf3e…dc7dbacked No	11c	5,563$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb256…3f94backed No	1c	5,555$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b9…de55backed No	1c	5,425$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6351…50e6backed No	12c	5,257$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd553…6af5backed No	6c	5,117$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-68%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…dd48backed No	7c	5,084$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.03	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d3…f399backed No	7c	5,012$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff7…291ebacked No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	9cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a80…d7fbbacked No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No	8c	5,000$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.35	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fb7…61e9backed No	1c	5,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a1…dd72backed No	1c	5,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked No	9c	4,993$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6c…69b7backed No	10c	4,800$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.72	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…c3b5backed No	3c	4,756$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f7a…d37ebacked No	1c	4,632$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.53	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	26cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed No	0c	4,600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked No	3c	4,536$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked No	7c	4,427$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.53	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed No	4c	4,307$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.26	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-46%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf072…8395backed No	2c	4,118$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…b99cbacked No	1c	4,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30b2…9e25backed No	6c	3,911$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.24	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3c4…dc51backed No	1c	3,879$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.79	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c9…e213backed No	5c	3,695$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked No	5c	3,683$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c90…aa32backed No	10c	3,662$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.76	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	+98.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ab2…02bebacked No	1c	3,532$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No	19c	3,248$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.57	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No	7c	3,204$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.23	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04db…f0fdbacked No	1c	3,112$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe2c1…fa46backed No	1c	3,055$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.71	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed No	9c	2,995$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.67	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0766…57f1backed No	5c	2,691$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf8…6e2bbacked Yes	62c	2,685$1,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.36	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	+31%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? this page
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event