Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8744e58e2758baf13f354d6a99d2c436306ec26f677ebad4e051cf937931490d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,218,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,053,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,218,316 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac64…77d9backed No	3c	96,312$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No	1c	70,596$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.34	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	1c	52,567$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.46	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No	1c	34,796$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.95	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked No	7c	30,701$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…dd48backed No	3c	24,789$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.7	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No	2c	19,994$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.45	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+11.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa8c9…e213backed No	3c	19,801$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	2c	18,117$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.43	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb7…ea3cbacked No	10c	16,276$1,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked No	1c	16,050$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.33	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No	1c	14,620$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.65	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a4…9437backed No	7c	14,040$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No	2c	13,904$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.59	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No	2c	12,651$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.84	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87dd…003bbacked No	3c	10,000$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b4…6f14backed No	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6549…5401backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7b5…c605backed No	2c	9,192$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No	1c	9,017$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.25	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-72.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc483…8ac8backed No	1c	9,004$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.96	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x283b…3a9bbacked No	0c	7,592$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db7…7e1fbacked No	1c	7,130$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No	5c	7,068$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.73	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x405f…4940backed No	1c	6,865$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.4	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No	2c	6,311$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.18	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd016…088dbacked No	6c	6,154$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.6	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked No	1c	5,986$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…ab20backed No	4c	5,548$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed No	1c	5,290$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27b…5fd0backed No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4211…927cbacked No	3c	4,817$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c79…f7adbacked No	1c	4,730$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0100…a303backed No	0c	4,700$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No	1c	4,545$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04db…f0fdbacked No	1c	4,062$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	28	0%0 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…888abacked No	10c	3,637$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f7…a634backed No	3c	3,436$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked No	3c	3,338$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed No	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6c…6460backed No	5c	2,911$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d1c…0b07backed No	3c	2,875$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x384c…ad76backed No	1c	2,828$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.11	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	2c	2,771$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7d5…149cbacked No	4c	2,618$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb28c…be33backed No	1c	2,467$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.94	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…973abacked No	12c	2,389$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b8…7e39backed No	4c	2,263$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	17cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…44c1backed No	3c	2,028$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…5d95backed No	2c	2,015$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…4bb1backed No	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2263…ad95backed No	1c	1,847$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf3d…d571backed No	1c	1,818$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed No	1c	1,680$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5c…3ec6backed No	3c	1,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50d5…e689backed No	1c	1,476$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed No	1c	1,415$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.58	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked No	2c	1,400$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…6572backed No	3c	1,248$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89d…e66dbacked No	2c	1,235$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No	1c	1,200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+11.3wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1906…11e1backed No	3c	1,171$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41e9…8f9fbacked No	2c	1,148$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x343c…608abacked No	2c	1,127$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x368a…a5f8backed No	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	7cpaid	+154.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7b…55bebacked No	2c	1,091$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa3…16e5backed No	3c	1,088$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff1…4d1fbacked No	2c	1,047$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b2…9e25backed No	2c	1,042$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b95…6141backed No	4c	1,026$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3a…deaabacked No	10c	1,018$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No	2c	1,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed No	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0066…1e90backed No	2c	999.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f5f…7c7fbacked No	6c	971.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7cb…77bdbacked No	4c	942.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	11cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed No	2c	805.44$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.89	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed No	13c	775.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.45	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c1…fa46backed No	1c	754.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8737…2e96backed No	4c	749.36$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…9c58backed No	3c	741.28$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes	21c	740.63$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.36	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+128.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee58…b704backed No	2c	697.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a7b…3c9ebacked No	3c	675.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…1b36backed No	8c	655.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed No	3c	635.05$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb45c…9cf5backed No	5c	632.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	57	45.6%26 W · 31 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b8b…2183backed No	2c	600$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2e2…06fbbacked No	3c	584.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa18…3e72backed No	3c	581.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No	2c	575.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x921f…8003backed No	2c	556.12$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-71%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503c…f6b6backed No	4c	530.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	28cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x192b…a3fcbacked No	11c	526.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c65…3e45backed No	14c	478.8$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.98	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed No	4c	459.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed No	4c	424.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.08	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e8…db37backed No	3c	421.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?this page
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? Yes won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? No won
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event