Token Launches · resolved market
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7708848f1afba30580e6f68c1ffce7a2b1a70a8851e4bc8b60daffbf712db861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,730,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,580,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,730,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c0…b5e6backed No | 0c | 498,000$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa780…1a6cbacked No | 0c | 148,000$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…77d9backed No | 7c | 81,628$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked No | 0c | 77,700$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 1c | 32,191$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.3 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a62…f60dbacked No | 6c | 22,414$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f42…78fcbacked No | 9c | 19,311$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 13,861$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.13 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 3c | 12,470$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.29 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked No | 3c | 11,935$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed No | 1c | 11,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…c181backed No | 10c | 10,490$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4e8dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…291ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…61d5backed No | 3c | 9,931$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…4c26backed No | 1c | 9,928$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 3c | 8,219$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 4c | 8,091$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…256abacked No | 4c | 8,000$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed No | 7c | 7,986$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed No | 6c | 7,766$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 5c | 7,494$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.56 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 3c | 6,778$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 3c | 6,742$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.71 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 9c | 6,409$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…003bbacked No | 2c | 6,224$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…dc08backed No | 2c | 5,830$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 3c | 5,506$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…f735backed No | 3c | 5,366$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed No | 10c | 4,943$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2098…c8aebacked No | 4c | 4,017$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 5c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 6c | 3,868$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.26 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed No | 3c | 3,718$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked No | 9c | 3,625$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…a21cbacked No | 3c | 3,570$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…5892backed No | 4c | 3,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No | 3c | 3,389$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…e033backed No | 3c | 3,302$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…6b2bbacked No | 5c | 3,287$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…f098backed No | 8c | 3,241$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…5711backed No | 5c | 3,240$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked No | 5c | 3,177$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…df08backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…0e40backed No | 7c | 2,954$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 5c | 2,940$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.02 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…e341backed No | 2c | 2,780$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…1da3backed No | 5c | 2,691$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…75acbacked No | 1c | 2,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…d582backed No | 6c | 2,511$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37d…b5b3backed No | 3c | 2,325$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed No | 5c | 2,310$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…c3b5backed No | 5c | 2,185$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed No | 1c | 2,179$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed No | 3c | 2,163$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed No | 7c | 2,147$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…8eccbacked No | 2c | 2,136$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…8725backed No | 5c | 2,123$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…3f94backed No | 7c | 2,070$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.31 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…1358backed No | 6c | 2,062$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…445cbacked No | 8c | 2,051$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed No | 6c | 2,049$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…a303backed No | 5c | 2,007$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7786backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 11c | 1,926$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed No | 4c | 1,899$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed No | 2c | 1,888$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed No | 2c | 1,800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 3c | 1,782$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2a…28d6backed No | 2c | 1,781$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…1661backed No | 3c | 1,748$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked No | 8c | 1,703$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…0091backed No | 6c | 1,689$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…02bebacked No | 3c | 1,686$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…60adbacked No | 5c | 1,669$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3e…dc7dbacked No | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 7c | 1,640$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…beeebacked No | 1c | 1,635$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 2c | 1,562$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed No | 1c | 1,560$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed No | 13c | 1,486$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked No | 7c | 1,440$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…2fe2backed No | 5c | 1,430$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…a09abacked No | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed No | 2c | 1,417$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c9…ecfcbacked No | 1c | 1,402$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 3c | 1,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed No | 2c | 1,332$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…1d24backed No | 8c | 1,313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…dfb8backed No | 3c | 1,307$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…9d0bbacked No | 3c | 1,285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe07f…8f3ebacked No | 6c | 1,207$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked No | 7c | 1,203$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…340ebacked No | 4c | 1,197$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…9d29backed No | 3c | 1,187$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…fe1bbacked No | 7c | 1,149$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d00…08b5backed No | 1c | 1,146$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd25…f900backed No | 1c | 1,134$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25? this page
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? Yes won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? No won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? No won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? Yes won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? No won
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.