Token Launches · resolved market
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04fc84c1e3aaab98f51573c8e196f06af8bcdd0e7453e37e8f7cb934a0e2d147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $441,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf403…5b97backed Yes | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…46e6backed Yes | 2c | 25,883$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 22c | 18,213$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,203.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…e986backed Yes | 73c | 16,675$12,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,231.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 13,676$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked Yes | 14c | 13,316$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.36 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed No | 20c | 11,440$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,131.06 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed Yes | 77c | 10,271$7,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,913.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bf…e70dbacked Yes | 34c | 9,040$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 71c | 8,875$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.24 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d103backed Yes | 71c | 8,368$5,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,917.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 63c | 7,455$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.08 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…81eabacked No | 30c | 6,605$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed No | 43c | 6,435$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.97 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 24c | 5,884$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.95 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 21c | 5,769$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 10c | 5,674$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…ae3dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,333$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 52c | 5,214$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.21 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…370abacked Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…dcd8backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed No | 52c | 4,890$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.91 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…f0fbbacked No | 44c | 4,855$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbf…c4f4backed No | 39c | 4,576$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed No | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…fd6fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,465$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,963$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.24 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 49c | 3,309$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…19a3backed No | 24c | 3,288$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed No | 18c | 3,202$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked No | 60c | 3,072$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e8…b4c6backed Yes | 11c | 2,957$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…a8f5backed No | 24c | 2,536$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 48c | 2,424$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 72c | 2,338$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…e4bcbacked No | 62c | 2,116$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57de…cd90backed Yes | 6c | 2,065$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…0d7abacked Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc033…859bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…c0a5backed No | 32c | 1,955$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…688fbacked No | 76c | 1,800$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 79c | 1,794$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…ac19backed No | 23c | 1,788$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 13c | 1,717$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae2…35dbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,582$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd318…637bbacked No | 74c | 1,429$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3d69backed Yes | 50c | 1,425$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked No | 27c | 1,291$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…ea74backed No | 30c | 1,195$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 23c | 1,184$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 41c | 1,157$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.48 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 38c | 1,044$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 73c | 1,030$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.01 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d4…8694backed Yes | 17c | 1,028$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9143…ff04backed Yes | 69c | 1,014$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…714ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,010$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…a403backed Yes | 58c | 1,005$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed No | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…e6acbacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 16c | 999$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.16 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed Yes | 10c | 979.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked No | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…4f5abacked Yes | 64c | 799.47$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…15c1backed Yes | 44c | 790.8$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a5…ec07backed Yes | 16c | 758.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…082cbacked Yes | 74c | 750$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…dfc3backed Yes | 15c | 680$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…f354backed No | 76c | 662.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed No | 24c | 660.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed Yes | 8c | 609.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked No | 25c | 609.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed No | 21c | 595.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…ef1bbacked Yes | 17c | 584.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…67acbacked Yes | 77c | 522.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…5e1abacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed No | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…0d27backed Yes | 10c | 486.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…bf08backed No | 21c | 476.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…24dbbacked Yes | 64c | 468$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 30c | 465.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Yes | 72c | 449.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed No | 67c | 436.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…4ba6backed Yes | 58c | 430.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…a836backed Yes | 24c | 412.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 18c | 399.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Yes | 75c | 396.4$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 77c | 390.33$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…7eaabacked Yes | 71c | 389.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 37c | 378.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…db17backed Yes | 14c | 376.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…5f75backed Yes | 64c | 357.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed No | 55c | 350.85$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…6841backed Yes | 31c | 349.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b41…841ebacked Yes | 65c | 349$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…ba03backed No | 33c | 348.53$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce2…f6c2backed No | 30c | 323.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…d20ebacked No | 12c | 318.31$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.41 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked Yes | 20c | 305.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?this page
- Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
- Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.