Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2a8553e907a5311b3a76ff3d364d45a4210a45c3cb85f0cdb16f4724a6fe72

Rebuilt 48 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $223,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $247,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,309 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd52…0001backed Yes	14c	12,239$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8212backed Yes	7c	9,125$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	10cpaid	+288.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e96…633fbacked Yes	1c	7,314$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.56	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.27per pick	11cpaid	+99.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No	74c	5,100$3,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.49	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	5,081$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.98	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x267f…2fa5backed Yes	7c	4,500$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	2c	4,129$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.73	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	17cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…4c69backed Yes	29c	4,087$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec04…8a64backed Yes	4c	4,081$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f68…2815backed Yes	18c	2,398$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.72	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…4612backed Yes	3c	2,390$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	12cpaid	+25%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7a…0e63backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaccf…a244backed Yes	24c	1,943$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.81	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+366.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes	11c	1,829$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x279b…e971backed Yes	20c	1,780$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes	6c	1,727$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.41	103	20.4%21 W · 82 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adb…e046backed Yes	12c	1,725$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…88d0backed Yes	27c	1,624$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.26	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x207d…7a98backed Yes	17c	1,287$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa462…cd56backed Yes	3c	1,282$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…aa4dbacked Yes	6c	1,191$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb1…7dd5backed Yes	15c	1,161$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.3	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33b…5eabbacked Yes	46c	1,100$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b7…09cebacked Yes	18c	1,099$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Yes	12c	1,093$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.99	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	7c	1,069$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.34	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x787a…e636backed Yes	4c	1,060$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Yes	2c	1,015$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	25c	1,000$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-67%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f99…8ca6backed Yes	10c	1,000$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes	8c	1,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42ca…d76dbacked Yes	9c	999.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1da…18a7backed Yes	10c	928.85$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.89	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.34per pick	47cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d5b…4f5abacked Yes	19c	906.35$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8329…96c2backed Yes	12c	880$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.4	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+124.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a8…799dbacked Yes	12c	847.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x739c…e7abbacked No	55c	837.9$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.58	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67c5…c410backed Yes	24c	816.16$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa007…3bb9backed Yes	19c	806.14$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf285…42dbbacked Yes	14c	736.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd581…bd3bbacked Yes	9c	684.16$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc959…3bf4backed No	73c	613.57$445 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.62	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x34ab…5901backed Yes	12c	609.22$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x101f…2b1bbacked Yes	14c	608.56$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	34cpaid	-47%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x460d…c82dbacked Yes	14c	590.28$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes	22c	562.37$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes	9c	546.05$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.19	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff91…0b95backed Yes	11c	541.35$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-53%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes	11c	540.92$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.25	204	22.1%45 W · 159 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc2…d2afbacked Yes	31c	534.36$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.18	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d01…6f95backed Yes	19c	529.9$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…9545backed Yes	15c	518.63$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes	12c	515.81$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.57	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f6…0a5bbacked Yes	30c	514.88$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b9…0c5cbacked Yes	12c	512.04$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+63%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	8c	500$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf6…ac7ebacked Yes	11c	475.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes	21c	450.36$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1d36…0ba5backed No	75c	446.81$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb52…2a20backed Yes	21c	432.27$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.74	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c3…f4c1backed Yes	12c	431.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556a…e157backed Yes	19c	415.79$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	11c	400.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.71	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf703…3a6cbacked Yes	7c	400.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a58…c236backed Yes	23c	400$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…389dbacked Yes	3c	400$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd188…e387backed Yes	4c	399.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2570…94f8backed Yes	13c	399$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x77f7…06b8backed Yes	25c	396.99$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes	16c	376.32$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.55	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b6f…246dbacked Yes	15c	370.14$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb601…a9e3backed Yes	27c	369.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2066…539fbacked Yes	5c	367.94$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2f…98c8backed No	80c	359.43$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.32	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea0…96febacked Yes	27c	354.85$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed No	67c	348.78$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.63	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	52cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x543b…7a77backed Yes	14c	336$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0c4…cb2dbacked Yes	28c	312.31$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccf…61d8backed Yes	31c	304.55$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e2…1938backed Yes	10c	280.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf079…874dbacked No	70c	278.34$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.5	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x100a…2c58backed No	75c	267.15$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.15	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9828…8db2backed Yes	11c	260.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4526…041abacked Yes	10c	254.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80de…ef85backed Yes	8c	250$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+84.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadb4…420cbacked Yes	21c	234.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes	7c	226.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes	18c	217.31$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46b2…14f3backed Yes	12c	208.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d8…cc13backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc75…e4bcbacked No	76c	200$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.2	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c67…29dbbacked No	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3efc…8a76backed Yes	9c	170$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	26c	162.5$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d24…a3fabacked Yes	19c	161.16$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2738…6412backed Yes	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…8b9ebacked Yes	27c	159.44$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa28c…67d8backed Yes	32c	154.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9915…3704backed No	72c	151$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.8	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	40cpaid	+163.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?this page
Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch?No won
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?No won
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?No won
Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event