Music · resolved market
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b847de7c324d320539a28cc56ab84ceab82d5b0873d8ffeccbc2f0ac751581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 12c | 5,213$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…68c3backed Yes | 66c | 4,688$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 23c | 4,072$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…bee7backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 37c | 2,915$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df6…a362backed Yes | 75c | 2,660$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed No | 25c | 2,459$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked Yes | 67c | 2,255$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 52c | 2,157$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 60c | 2,021$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 65c | 1,865$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…2f1dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,736$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 8c | 1,706$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 8c | 1,706$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…2353backed Yes | 18c | 1,596$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…618fbacked No | 34c | 1,576$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked No | 5c | 1,271$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 71c | 1,229$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 1,147$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.7 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 66c | 962.94$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…0402backed Yes | 60c | 894.23$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 37c | 893.67$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.58 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 28c | 851.79$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed No | 48c | 850$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…1e04backed No | 39c | 814.71$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…4542backed Yes | 62c | 810.48$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 61c | 803.59$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.84 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…49cabacked Yes | 67c | 800.55$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…a59dbacked Yes | 63c | 790.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 785.09$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 67c | 751.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Yes | 61c | 676.6$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 55c | 603.51$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.77 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed No | 44c | 562.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…cd8bbacked Yes | 66c | 544.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Yes | 6c | 531.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +427.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 495.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 8c | 475.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…6a3fbacked Yes | 65c | 470.55$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 70c | 461.22$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…e1ffbacked Yes | 66c | 452.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…707bbacked Yes | 20c | 451.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…cb78backed No | 61c | 445.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.05 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…df2abacked Yes | 7c | 442.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +268.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 435.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…aa22backed Yes | 39c | 433.54$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 64c | 432.74$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.33 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…d199backed Yes | 70c | 430.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…d085backed Yes | 33c | 422.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +732.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 6c | 414.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…eb33backed Yes | 65c | 413.83$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…c86bbacked Yes | 71c | 409.96$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…e27cbacked Yes | 10c | 402.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +405.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed No | 30c | 379.61$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 64c | 374$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 6c | 334.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 328.94$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 66c | 307.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Yes | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…acb2backed Yes | 67c | 298.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes | 70c | 286.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a71…0f0fbacked Yes | 62c | 280.8$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…6ec9backed Yes | 67c | 262.01$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…07edbacked Yes | 33c | 256.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 76c | 252.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…4889backed Yes | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ac…ba11backed Yes | 6c | 248$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +359%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…afc9backed Yes | 61c | 240.83$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…923fbacked Yes | 67c | 234.26$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 57c | 232.66$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…a3f4backed No | 60c | 230.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 21c | 216.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.15 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed Yes | 44c | 202.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…2287backed Yes | 66c | 202$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 33c | 196.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 33c | 195.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…42e0backed Yes | 65c | 194.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 52c | 192.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked Yes | 63c | 191.88$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e25…7a93backed Yes | 65c | 188.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 22c | 188.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Yes | 70c | 186.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…1f07backed Yes | 65c | 166.07$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…49aebacked Yes | 64c | 165.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217c…e3bfbacked Yes | 64c | 156.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…f981backed Yes | 64c | 155.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…acdfbacked Yes | 62c | 154.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…bc22backed Yes | 66c | 151.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…56e6backed Yes | 69c | 151.52$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2c…b6ebbacked Yes | 30c | 151.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…28f4backed Yes | 41c | 146.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +238.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…8ff7backed Yes | 68c | 146.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed No | 73c | 145.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…1028backed Yes | 65c | 144.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?this page
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.