Music · resolved market
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x093417eba5b965d876ca751c5e93f705501086817c83cb8edaa065473c97f803
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf597…abbcbacked Yes | 6c | 24,812$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…12ebbacked Yes | 6c | 11,359$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a52…cecebacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 8,831$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.11 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 9c | 7,623$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…89a2backed Yes | 3c | 6,157$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 12c | 5,893$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes | 8c | 5,345$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,915$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.47 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33c…ac79backed Yes | 7c | 4,326$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 4,223$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…09ddbacked Yes | 5c | 4,183$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 13c | 3,358$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 3,084$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff07…439abacked Yes | 1c | 2,850$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 7c | 2,670$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,626$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 17c | 2,336$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 11c | 2,288$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes | 7c | 2,030$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yes | 11c | 2,002$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…cb78backed Yes | 13c | 1,973$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…0cf9backed Yes | 11c | 1,840$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…253fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,818$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…215abacked Yes | 6c | 1,817$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Yes | 12c | 1,729$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…0771backed Yes | 6c | 1,656$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…203cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,570$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…a350backed No | 74c | 1,528$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Yes | 6c | 1,415$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…38a8backed Yes | 15c | 1,323$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,282$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 20cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…2353backed Yes | 23c | 1,281$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +173.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 8c | 1,262$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Yes | 4c | 1,256$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…b156backed Yes | 8c | 1,161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes | 10c | 1,121$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 11c | 1,103$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes | 7c | 1,102$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ff…d637backed Yes | 3c | 1,065$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…b898backed Yes | 6c | 1,001$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 9c | 999.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…cfffbacked Yes | 7c | 994.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked Yes | 20c | 976.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes | 13c | 946.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…c187backed Yes | 23c | 924.79$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 10c | 918.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Yes | 28c | 844.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…9aecbacked Yes | 17c | 812.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…a395backed Yes | 12c | 804.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…b128backed Yes | 8c | 729.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 722.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf882…e1ffbacked Yes | 7c | 688.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 8c | 659.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec9…27b0backed Yes | 9c | 641.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 8c | 626.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…8448backed Yes | 7c | 609.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…4000backed Yes | 23c | 595.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…8c40backed Yes | 2c | 590.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…707bbacked Yes | 17c | 589.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 8c | 583.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 13c | 577.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…e35bbacked Yes | 20c | 576.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b99…5534backed Yes | 4c | 547.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…ad37backed Yes | 11c | 546.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…499ebacked Yes | 7c | 533.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 531.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.95 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd53…66eebacked Yes | 7c | 521.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…56acbacked Yes | 16c | 520.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yes | 19c | 516.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 16c | 511.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Yes | 7c | 503.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565d…bcf2backed Yes | 7c | 499.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 494.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd94…b271backed Yes | 20c | 494.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked Yes | 10c | 485.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…af71backed Yes | 7c | 484.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…dfb3backed Yes | 8c | 483.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…8051backed Yes | 9c | 481.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…3bdfbacked Yes | 22c | 462.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…3427backed Yes | 11c | 451.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…25a6backed Yes | 20c | 410.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +232%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Yes | 6c | 408.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 6c | 405.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf27f…362cbacked Yes | 15c | 385.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 10c | 385.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c62…df09backed Yes | 11c | 380$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Yes | 11c | 378.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…024fbacked Yes | 11c | 365$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…4889backed Yes | 10c | 363.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 24c | 356.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…8734backed Yes | 11c | 349.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c63…3facbacked Yes | 6c | 344.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?this page
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 40 and 50 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes won
- Will Diddy be sentenced to more than 50 years in prison?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.