TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Guardians

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers56c28,072$15,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,388.4619452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Guardians35c27,920$9,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,647.0310844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians44c13,986$6,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,169.761,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers17c12,146$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,080.9697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers57c11,353$6,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.191,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers61c10,322$6,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.9732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b2…f348backed Tigers67c9,999$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x024d…a6febacked Guardians33c9,999$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca32…2128backed Guardians33c9,998$3,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f85…4608backed Tigers67c9,998$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick69cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians32c9,938$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.1638047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers33c9,828$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,561.982,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers66c9,754$6,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.21,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians47c7,877$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,722.0225550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians32c6,182$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.011,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Guardians34c5,564$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.3210143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…d2b9backed Tigers67c4,094$2,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Guardians33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Tigers51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.574047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Guardians52c3,821$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers67c3,744$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.792,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers60c3,701$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.9869249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99012655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers55c2,875$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.8333554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Guardians37c2,640$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.1223752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Guardians33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9927953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers65c2,494$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.961,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers52c2,175$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.226847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Guardians71c2,085$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.2710041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers67c2,005$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.6531346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians33c1,731$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.387554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x457c…fa41backed Tigers68c1,501$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc5…63c0backed Guardians32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbba5…cb7dbacked Tigers67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers65c1,400$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48651151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Tigers67c1,234$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers67c1,195$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers67c1,150$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.55666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Tigers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47013262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Guardians25c999.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.874332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers62c967.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.991,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Tigers68c953.8$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.875764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tigers50c935.11$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.179740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Guardians33c900$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers39c814.36$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.21,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers65c808$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.873352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x199b…76d8backed Tigers68c744.28$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers19c743.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.8434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Tigers66c681.69$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Guardians33c678.9$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.042347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Tigers36c628.94$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.525156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Guardians33c499.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Guardians33c449.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.571,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians32c396.96$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0344443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Tigers23c391.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.76746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tigers61c325.29$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.865,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Guardians6c307.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.655852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Guardians33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians34c300.4$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.972,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians47c298.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers68c291$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers69c290.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9738455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers67c284$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.722,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…a6e9backed Tigers43c278.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+158.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers54c257$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.221,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians33c236.35$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers68c221.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.882,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Guardians63c205.21$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.76435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Guardians35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Tigers68c197.69$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2624751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0866645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Guardians34c177$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1814146.8%66 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers53c162.61$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Tigers41c154.84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2531356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Guardians46c147.07$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers53c142.69$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.554,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Guardians31c137.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2426642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…fbe9backed Guardians34c135$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.96747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1946…8a1fbacked Tigers67c134.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.332661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Tigers54c131.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4838743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians33c123.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.741,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Tigers63c117.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0927458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Tigers74c112.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Tigers67c111.15$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6825952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Guardians47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Guardians33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3317139.2%67 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Guardians33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…824ebacked Tigers67c95.82$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.624854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Guardians44c95.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0512045.8%55 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a10…023fbacked Tigers67c83.31$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.495757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Guardians41c83.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5313145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Tigers67c74.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1213254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers54c73.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.