MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8083791b20e4274ec182ba7aed6478f9ff97135996d8e9dc6c617d1f96a99c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 47c | 14,082$6,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,511.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Braves | 57c | 11,104$6,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,328 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Orioles | 46c | 10,594$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.22 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 44c | 10,156$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 55c | 6,499$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Orioles | 50c | 5,175$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.64 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Orioles | 67c | 4,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Braves | 38c | 3,624$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.16 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 70c | 3,570$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.27 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Braves | 66c | 3,169$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.75 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Braves | 56c | 2,704$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.16 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 44c | 2,599$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.7 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Braves | 59c | 2,531$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Braves | 60c | 2,515$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,307$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.76 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Braves | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.79 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 41c | 1,681$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.11 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Braves | 54c | 1,339$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.95 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Braves | 62c | 1,199$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.96 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.17 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 50c | 1,081$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.25 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Orioles | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 38c | 979.55$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 42c | 953.74$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.17 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…a5babacked Braves | 58c | 927.83$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 75c | 901.38$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Orioles | 40c | 806.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.11 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Braves | 77c | 795.73$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 28c | 743.1$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Braves | 57c | 698.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Orioles | 63c | 688.83$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 60c | 670$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 28c | 652.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.07 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 57c | 623.45$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.37 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Orioles | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Orioles | 39c | 576.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.77 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 42c | 575.52$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 69c | 514.68$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Orioles | 49c | 502.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.66 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 69c | 474.62$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Orioles | 46c | 450$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.58 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Orioles | 42c | 399.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Braves | 33c | 350.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Braves | 57c | 348.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Braves | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Braves | 58c | 270$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 50c | 266.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 69c | 264.58$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 58c | 257.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Braves | 56c | 249.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 51c | 233.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Braves | 63c | 229.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 44c | 229.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 60c | 220$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 49c | 203.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 49c | 203.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 60c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…e515backed Braves | 56c | 180.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 39c | 178.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Orioles | 52c | 171.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Braves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 61c | 157.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Braves | 51c | 155.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 21c | 153.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Braves | 58c | 149.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 42c | 136.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Orioles | 51c | 129.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Orioles | 41c | 127$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 266 | 42.1%112 W · 154 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…d52ebacked Orioles | 43c | 122.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Braves | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 43c | 117.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Braves | 49c | 112.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…3719backed Orioles | 43c | 112.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb439…ff72backed Orioles | 46c | 109.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 42c | 107.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 41c | 105.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Orioles | 46c | 104.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…1605backed Orioles | 46c | 103.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Orioles | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Braves | 59c | 96.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Braves | 53c | 96.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3c…72c9backed Braves | 56c | 90.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…9b67backed Orioles | 45c | 90.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…35d4backed Braves | 58c | 89.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1777…e72cbacked Orioles | 43c | 86.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…eb41backed Braves | 58c | 86.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…3d49backed Orioles | 45c | 85.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 44c | 85.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…6f1ebacked Braves | 56c | 84.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…7f08backed Braves | 56c | 83.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Orioles | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…9aecbacked Braves | 56c | 82.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Braves | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 67cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.