MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d98a5818d2069d7f48903f6c8813520e9a90954e34e713847838d3dcfb00ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 31,708$13,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,390.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees | 59c | 17,246$10,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,117.12 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yankees | 58c | 16,286$9,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,445.71 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 78c | 14,107$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.25 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 25c | 14,104$3,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Yankees | 75c | 13,533$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 41c | 13,232$5,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.74 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 72c | 11,243$8,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 15c | 9,148$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.25 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 27c | 8,579$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,295.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yankees | 63c | 5,570$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.53 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 5,434$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 34c | 5,386$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.6 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 37c | 4,979$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 52c | 4,629$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.18 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed Yankees | 57c | 3,488$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 41c | 3,385$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.53 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 58c | 2,360$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.8 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 57c | 2,277$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.89 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 42c | 2,253$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.62 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yankees | 66c | 2,203$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.93 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 2,163$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f1…f1a9backed Blue Jays | 42c | 2,143$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 43c | 2,086$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.35 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…9d2fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 2,024$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Blue Jays | 36c | 2,011$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.78 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Blue Jays | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…ccbbbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,810$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,663$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.61 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 58c | 1,500$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,441$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.81 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Blue Jays | 25c | 1,416$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.9 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Blue Jays | 43c | 1,379$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.29 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 31c | 1,333$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.25 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 31c | 1,204$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 1,173$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…4a30backed Yankees | 58c | 1,109$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…3010backed Yankees | 57c | 1,070$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…f93ebacked Yankees | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Yankees | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…23f5backed Yankees | 58c | 991$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Blue Jays | 42c | 990$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Yankees | 58c | 989$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 71c | 983.75$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.56 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 64c | 970.47$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Blue Jays | 42c | 960$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…9084backed Yankees | 58c | 959$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Blue Jays | 43c | 931.02$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Yankees | 58c | 931$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…6133backed Yankees | 57c | 930$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 49c | 889$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…cd1abacked Yankees | 58c | 878$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays | 42c | 803.39$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Blue Jays | 32c | 780.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.53 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Blue Jays | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 21c | 671$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yankees | 24c | 669.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 58c | 655.17$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Yankees | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 68c | 589.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 531.64$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yankees | 32c | 531.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yankees | 32c | 521.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Blue Jays | 41c | 500.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yankees | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…a861backed Yankees | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Yankees | 33c | 460.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 405.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.19 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Blue Jays | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 76c | 398.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 42c | 392.92$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.55 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 56c | 388.93$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Yankees | 36c | 379.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Blue Jays | 44c | 354.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yankees | 77c | 348.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.5 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Yankees | 27c | 336$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Yankees | 58c | 324.5$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Yankees | 30c | 321.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yankees | 19c | 310.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yankees | 76c | 302.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Blue Jays | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 14c | 293.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yankees | 57c | 249.58$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yankees | 45c | 242.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yankees | 29c | 241.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Blue Jays | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yankees | 57c | 232.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Blue Jays | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Blue Jays | 48c | 230.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 229$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.