TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fritz of Rublev , Fritz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2360…1c1cbacked Fritz 68c14,923$10,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.588831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rublev 32c12,235$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,902.7976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Rublev 34c11,071$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Rublev 32c6,820$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.5357939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Rublev 21c6,645$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.635525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Rublev 22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88026039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Fritz 67c3,992$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.462653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Fritz 68c3,896$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.876376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Fritz 65c3,038$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.2539144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Fritz 67c2,500$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.9710654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rublev 32c2,484$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.8116140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Fritz 68c2,222$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.075950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Fritz 69c2,001$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.394751.1%24 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Fritz 68c1,723$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.499742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Rublev 9c1,547$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5211927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Fritz 68c1,503$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.942759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev 32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Rublev 14c1,324$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.342725.9%7 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rublev 32c1,253$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Rublev 32c1,136$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.44224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Rublev 33c1,061$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Rublev 30c1,000$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30515957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Fritz 66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27215452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Rublev 32c723.53$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5312231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Rublev 32c644$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.086136.1%22 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Rublev 9c638.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.432141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz 79c562.5$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12011652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Rublev 33c524.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17314540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Rublev 32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Fritz 66c452.05$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Fritz 68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…c5f2backed Fritz 68c368.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.243256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…e5f7backed Fritz 68c367.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.262673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Fritz 70c342.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Fritz 69c323.19$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.199149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Rublev 35c302.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054035%14 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz 68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1248043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz 68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1263942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rublev 10c290$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Fritz 69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Fritz 69c243.35$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4413852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Rublev 32c242.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5717349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Fritz 67c224$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.922250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Fritz 68c220.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1712560%75 W · 50 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rublev 25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4962952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Fritz 69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.128643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Rublev 32c199.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8120431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Rublev 31c173.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.663234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Fritz 68c169.2$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.148453.6%45 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Rublev 33c166.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rublev 34c156.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.042544%11 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Rublev 33c155.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.284843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa405…4788backed Rublev 33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Fritz 68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0618543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Fritz 68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0638356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Fritz 69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fritz 69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9373147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd7…0e39backed Fritz 68c144.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Rublev 19c142.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2764540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Fritz 69c133.84$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4915961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…2937backed Fritz 69c127.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Rublev 33c122.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4537233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Fritz 69c119.97$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.194151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Fritz 68c119.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1225352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Fritz 68c118.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.88351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Rublev 17c116.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207565.3%49 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Fritz 79c100.63$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6332161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b9…403dbacked Rublev 17c100.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.162213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-45.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Fritz 69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…060ebacked Rublev 34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rublev 13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Rublev 32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rublev 32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3b…14fcbacked Rublev 34c98.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Fritz 68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.248858%51 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…2adcbacked Fritz 69c87.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.18955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Rublev 32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.646147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Fritz 68c69.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.328543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64f…5976backed Rublev 33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014940.9%61 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rublev 32c60.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2adc…8f9abacked Fritz 69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.976464.1%41 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick71cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Fritz 68c57.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Rublev 33c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4911230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rublev 32c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.961,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Rublev 30c52.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.862817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Rublev 25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312852.3%67 W · 61 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed Rublev 32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz 67c45.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Rublev 34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5599…98c3backed Rublev 34c43.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Fritz 69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Rublev 32c41.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.317236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Rublev 33c40.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4136040%144 W · 216 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rublev 33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Fritz 67c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.542955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Rublev 33c36.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9312737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Fritz 68c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3775…5493backed Rublev 32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Fritz 69c30.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3123670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Fritz 69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.329553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.