TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Giants, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc605…d372backed Giants70c17,666$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3008641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Diamondbacks56c12,143$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,393.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks43c8,352$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,773.272,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Giants69c7,516$5,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,202.7915851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Giants50c6,208$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.0618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks34c5,781$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.051,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks31c5,082$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.221,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks36c3,761$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.0397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants45c3,689$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.921,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks55c3,559$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.3833554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Giants45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35027953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Giants8c2,774$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1327213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Giants44c2,479$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.8998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Giants48c2,421$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.7625550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks55c2,344$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.831346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants1c2,058$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.085053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Giants45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks35c1,972$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.9340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Giants73c1,855$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks46c1,633$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.4329240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Giants68c1,516$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02911357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Giants47c1,487$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6925356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Diamondbacks48c1,430$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.323636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Giants49c1,229$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks54c1,149$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.6149250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks54c1,118$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Diamondbacks55c1,118$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Giants6c1,056$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants73c1,029$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants43c1,008$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.8661346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants1c1,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants4c820.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.898762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks40c806.76$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.831,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Giants9c700$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants43c688.36$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.995,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Diamondbacks45c666.85$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.93743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Diamondbacks56c626.98$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks54c578.07$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.59,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks50c527.78$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.124,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9850…4708backed Giants54c513.89$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Giants24c507.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Diamondbacks30c505$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.510719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Giants46c492$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3217354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Diamondbacks43c465.86$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.866746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks45c400$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants44c386$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.841,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Diamondbacks62c377.88$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.865764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks79c342.74$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.971,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Giants44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Giants65c331.87$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7432042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants46c300.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Giants67c297.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks55c297.22$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.752,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Giants44c269.7$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ea0…3ac7backed Giants44c256.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Diamondbacks38c246.68$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3827458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Diamondbacks41c240.05$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.055939%23 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks38c230.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.096,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Giants23c226.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Giants46c222$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1219849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…767ebacked Diamondbacks31c203.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.621070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3fc…d45ebacked Diamondbacks57c202.19$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Diamondbacks44c200.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Diamondbacks32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13624953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9be9…3e67backed Giants5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid-33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef2…b798backed Giants8c192.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163727%10 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8231356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Diamondbacks55c180.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.197556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Giants45c180.08$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.693231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants44c179.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5599…98c3backed Diamondbacks33c179.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e43…e3ecbacked Giants46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Diamondbacks60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346f…5b81backed Giants46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks37c163$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf082…ae27backed Diamondbacks56c158.91$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.922955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9591…7951backed Giants71c157.21$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9327…9ea2backed Giants45c152$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.43357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Giants20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9295…04f3backed Giants45c146.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed Diamondbacks42c140.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.236251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1c…c54cbacked Diamondbacks56c136$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ad…cc06backed Giants46c134.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb06…99d4backed Diamondbacks56c132.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.183148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e9…1edabacked Giants46c130.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Diamondbacks32c125.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.537025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ea…5423backed Giants45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5d54backed Diamondbacks56c123.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.183452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc8…8a1dbacked Giants45c121.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.632951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4df…4028backed Giants45c121$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…d72fbacked Diamondbacks56c119.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.543366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf14d…4c11backed Giants45c118.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.33447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Giants44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba95…7534backed Diamondbacks56c110.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.93056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f85…da50backed Giants45c110.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.533525.7%9 W · 26 L-9.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-46.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa712…9929backed Giants45c109.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.223262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Diamondbacks56c108.74$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2137552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.