Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bb93bd9d3380269da1e9e25498ed9c939b5ad34316cdf232ec3624eaa6c77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $686,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 17c | 33,562$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.13 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 13c | 25,110$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.49 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfb…a4a2backed Yes | 40c | 24,950$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 22c | 20,873$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.11 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 15,820$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.29 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 11c | 14,665$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.12 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 52c | 13,296$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,396.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 7c | 12,200$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.32 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 16c | 11,952$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.69 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 11,126$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.57 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 10,061$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 20c | 10,002$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.46 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 18c | 9,939$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 13c | 8,736$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.65 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 11c | 8,586$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.72 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 38c | 7,633$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 20c | 7,140$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.51 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 17c | 6,902$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.26 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 49c | 6,298$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 13c | 6,121$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.72 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 62c | 5,740$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.52 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,599$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 12c | 4,421$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 13c | 4,348$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 17c | 4,284$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…1039backed Yes | 4c | 4,229$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 2c | 4,035$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a03…68d1backed Yes | 7c | 3,708$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 54c | 3,607$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.33 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 12c | 3,486$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 14c | 3,424$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 61c | 3,108$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.27 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 71c | 3,100$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf09…63c3backed Yes | 9c | 2,846$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,798$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.62 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…89b6backed Yes | 18c | 2,647$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 5c | 2,497$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +2,714.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…05acbacked Yes | 5c | 2,375$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 19c | 2,349$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…8af5backed No | 53c | 2,308$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Yes | 41c | 2,280$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 12c | 2,270$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…8fdfbacked No | 78c | 2,263$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…5c98backed Yes | 21c | 2,226$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 2,213$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.94 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 2,134$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.87 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 66c | 2,128$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.12 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 59c | 2,100$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 23c | 1,904$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 66c | 1,853$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.61 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 77c | 1,820$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 1,608$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 24c | 1,600$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed Yes | 23c | 1,585$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…db42backed No | 77c | 1,536$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…567bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,522$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 26c | 1,497$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 71c | 1,468$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…9ecfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,463$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 39c | 1,442$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830e…7099backed Yes | 15c | 1,408$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,373$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 56c | 1,314$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.07 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 67c | 1,302$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.22 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…5b74backed Yes | 12c | 1,296$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…9e2cbacked No | 77c | 1,292$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14c…4e18backed Yes | 7c | 1,287$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 60c | 1,241$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.9 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 1,224$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.18 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…38c3backed Yes | 49c | 1,215$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…1f4fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,161$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 70c | 1,118$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…0882backed Yes | 44c | 1,112$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.41 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 73c | 1,099$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.21 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Yes | 1c | 1,084$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,060$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…c971backed Yes | 16c | 1,060$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…a691backed Yes | 4c | 1,059$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf712…4bd0backed Yes | 47c | 1,051$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 19c | 1,040$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed No | 75c | 993.31$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 67c | 988.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…c7a0backed Yes | 34c | 980.94$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed No | 68c | 970$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 40c | 967.61$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.07 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed No | 53c | 941.57$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 62c | 940.54$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 75c | 918.18$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 14c | 917.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a2…632cbacked Yes | 33c | 913.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 41c | 907.07$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 20c | 900$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…24dabacked Yes | 14c | 895$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…89b1backed Yes | 40c | 889.53$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.