TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mexico of USA , Mexico
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe653…c4a7backed Mexico 57c55,025$31,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,930.549451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Mexico 61c30,601$18,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,869.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed USA 44c23,534$10,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,354.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed USA 43c19,864$8,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,541.496137.7%23 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked USA 44c14,437$6,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,340.971656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked USA 43c10,471$4,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,533.9917345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ea4…476dbacked Mexico 71c8,966$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Mexico 55c7,710$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+285%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Mexico 56c7,500$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Mexico 55c5,225$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,359.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed USA 42c5,081$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.597948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked USA 43c3,611$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.731747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed USA 41c2,900$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mexico 49c2,500$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28512451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed USA 28c2,259$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.7611632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked USA 45c2,004$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed USA 45c2,002$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.8260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Mexico 59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked USA 42c1,913$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.65042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Mexico 56c1,687$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.697051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb81a…eec2backed USA 2c1,600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b57…198fbacked USA 45c1,341$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed USA 44c1,179$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa628…1943backed USA 3c1,075$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked USA 33c1,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3256331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked USA 43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43016564.2%106 W · 59 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mexico 55c842.99$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3510548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed USA 43c837.75$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3814040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c7…e344backed USA 44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Mexico 60c695.84$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.07875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed USA 42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25227434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Mexico 58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mexico 57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.327041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked USA 42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Mexico 57c467$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Mexico 55c450.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.75875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked USA 44c449.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked USA 18c400$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Mexico 56c386.26$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.262352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Mexico 60c382$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed USA 69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked USA 44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.442352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mexico 56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1410263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mexico 57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882458.3%14 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Mexico 58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed USA 44c341$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc0…3a00backed Mexico 63c290.21$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed USA 44c288.75$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed USA 45c286$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.747032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked USA 39c279.03$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.438932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e11…b846backed USA 43c245$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked USA 43c231.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.757950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed USA 45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked USA 45c222.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed USA 45c218$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed USA 46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed USA 46c204$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.843528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Mexico 57c203.51$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.584835.4%17 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked USA 44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mexico 60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017050.6%86 W · 84 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed USA 45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed USA 44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887540%30 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked USA 43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868944.9%40 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785b…c51dbacked USA 10c185.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+173.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mexico 78c169$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mexico 58c144.83$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8313461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked USA 42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.06825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Mexico 56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8313…1a6ebacked USA 42c142.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Mexico 62c129.03$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0343145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Mexico 57c127.93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Mexico 64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed USA 42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.420036%72 W · 128 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf853…a003backed USA 39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed USA 47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+119.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbae…6597backed USA 63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed USA 43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked USA 43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed USA 42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7732…fa11backed USA 45c91.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mexico 63c79.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d60…5c61backed Mexico 57c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Mexico 63c77.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-35.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed USA 44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33365.6%2 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a0…a17cbacked Mexico 65c74.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7484…33eebacked USA 42c71.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69f…ceb0backed Mexico 57c59.96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Mexico 71c58$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8232629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed Mexico 56c54.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa401…1efebacked Mexico 56c51.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Mexico 60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked USA 42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c8…7251backed USA 42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mexico 62c44.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…e776backed USA 45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x568b…983abacked USA 45c43.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Mexico 58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.13268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00e…5d7fbacked USA 44c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Mexico 63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfac…490fbacked USA 57c35.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.