TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Kings, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ef4…412cbacked Kings59c13,000$7,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,662.53234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets48c12,614$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.911,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Hornets59c12,550$7,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.1133746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings35c11,957$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.5925536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Hornets70c11,687$8,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.2718146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Hornets49c5,720$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.631752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Kings52c5,572$2,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.244854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…2a4ebacked Kings60c5,239$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings50c4,014$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.2466744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Hornets66c3,328$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.852653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings34c1,735$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.7811229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kings3c1,722$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.845502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4180…cf9cbacked Hornets47c1,573$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.663342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets43c1,508$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.341,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Kings59c1,379$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.3938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hornets43c1,300$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7429344.1%41 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Hornets41c1,200$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70834425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Kings43c1,165$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49713040%52 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Kings45c883.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings59c849.04$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings35c809.63$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.941,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc35a…e5d8backed Hornets49c767.61$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.486440.6%26 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Kings57c763.97$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.75955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Kings56c657.14$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36824151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Hornets45c629.04$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Hornets48c621.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.4220756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…abe1backed Kings60c607.23$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.86875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Kings54c599.68$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5510058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Hornets43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Kings36c531.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Kings54c511.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4719149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Hornets40c509.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30636747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.231,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Hornets40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Hornets49c411.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1835438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings33c390.73$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.43,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Kings36c300.14$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.058142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hornets55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Kings13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403426.5%9 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Hornets45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16569337.8%262 W · 431 L+2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Hornets44c279.31$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5314924.8%37 W · 112 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Hornets58c277$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11625836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings57c253.7$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0848938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets43c253.28$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Hornets45c249.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.67580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+104.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Kings49c243.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-83.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Kings57c235$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9516361.3%100 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Kings55c235$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.251450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Kings58c221.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.336247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Hornets46c220.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2327546.9%129 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets46c218.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.261,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Hornets46c217.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.610345.6%47 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Kings45c199.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915127.5%14 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe8…0176backed Hornets45c190.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Hornets44c188.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.531,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Hornets47c182.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4666732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Hornets45c160.74$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.413461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Hornets44c159.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.631631.6%100 W · 216 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Hornets45c156.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.2342740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets43c155$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc043…8121backed Hornets56c145.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Kings56c143.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809266.3%61 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Hornets50c143$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.985054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa98a…8f31backed Hornets46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Hornets52c129.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.492650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x428e…de17backed Hornets46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Hornets43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Hornets43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5772647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5246…7064backed Kings55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Kings56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Hornets44c96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.762,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Hornets55c93.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.191457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Hornets43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0290560.8%550 W · 355 L-2.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Kings34c92.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.065541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786e…d198backed Hornets44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba73…e538backed Kings34c73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.15200%0 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Hornets57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1833650.6%170 W · 166 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Hornets44c68.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.486750.7%34 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d7…f55fbacked Hornets44c67.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Hornets73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.794562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Hornets76c52.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4828256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Hornets46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…d6e6backed Hornets40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Hornets43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Hornets43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5115252%79 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f6…f201backed Hornets58c46.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Hornets45c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.321062.9%132 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33f…fedbbacked Hornets66c42.72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-56.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4a6…fe2abacked Kings55c40.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Kings55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2282440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae90…c05fbacked Hornets47c38.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5599…98c3backed Hornets65c38.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3820…d669backed Kings54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Kings56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026439.4%104 W · 160 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c85…0884backed Hornets68c26.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Hornets76c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.