UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. Petroski
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac02164b21d880766ce33d3d9d63b7f8f2550ee1da16942c15a62866eadc119
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shahbazyanof Shahbazyan, Petroski
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Petroski | 38c | 18,828$7,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,101.39 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Petroski | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Shahbazyan | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Shahbazyan | 62c | 7,788$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.27 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Petroski | 20c | 5,062$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.64 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0144…86f5backed Shahbazyan | 63c | 4,760$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Petroski | 38c | 4,732$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.91 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Petroski | 29c | 3,614$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.66 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Petroski | 24c | 3,594$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.99 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Petroski | 36c | 3,292$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.5 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Petroski | 43c | 2,318$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shahbazyan | 61c | 2,050$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.09 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Shahbazyan | 58c | 1,983$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Petroski | 25c | 1,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Shahbazyan | 58c | 1,430$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Petroski | 40c | 1,400$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Petroski | 36c | 1,336$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shahbazyan | 57c | 1,265$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Petroski | 41c | 1,229$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Petroski | 39c | 1,194$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.54 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Shahbazyan | 62c | 1,030$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.7 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Petroski | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Shahbazyan | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Petroski | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Petroski | 24c | 926.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Shahbazyan | 62c | 887.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 836.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.67 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Shahbazyan | 60c | 807$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Petroski | 40c | 739.94$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Petroski | 41c | 568.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Shahbazyan | 59c | 520$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Petroski | 38c | 492$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.96 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Petroski | 39c | 438.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Petroski | 19c | 420.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Petroski | 41c | 400$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Shahbazyan | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Shahbazyan | 62c | 398$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Petroski | 38c | 396.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Petroski | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Shahbazyan | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shahbazyan | 61c | 352.5$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked Shahbazyan | 59c | 337.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Shahbazyan | 58c | 334.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Petroski | 19c | 327.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Petroski | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…3414backed Shahbazyan | 63c | 295.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Petroski | 30c | 275.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Shahbazyan | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Petroski | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Shahbazyan | 58c | 235$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Shahbazyan | 58c | 230$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Shahbazyan | 72c | 210.74$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Shahbazyan | 70c | 195.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Petroski | 20c | 179.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Shahbazyan | 60c | 176.27$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Shahbazyan | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Shahbazyan | 61c | 141.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…828fbacked Petroski | 17c | 135.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Shahbazyan | 79c | 126.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Petroski | 40c | 125.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Petroski | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Petroski | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…6c38backed Petroski | 41c | 102.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Shahbazyan | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Petroski | 41c | 100.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shahbazyan | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Shahbazyan | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Shahbazyan | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Petroski | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Shahbazyan | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Shahbazyan | 61c | 81.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Petroski | 28c | 79.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Petroski | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…caa4backed Petroski | 42c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Petroski | 17c | 71.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…1f56backed Petroski | 44c | 68.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Petroski | 19c | 67.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…67c3backed Shahbazyan | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Petroski | 38c | 63.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…ae49backed Petroski | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Petroski | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Petroski | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Petroski | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Petroski | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Shahbazyan | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…971ebacked Shahbazyan | 59c | 44.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Shahbazyan | 59c | 38.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Petroski | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…e895backed Shahbazyan | 63c | 32.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Shahbazyan | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Petroski | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Shahbazyan | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Petroski | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed Shahbazyan | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. Petroskithis page
- UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs. BrundageAbdul-Malik won
- UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeeChiesa won
- UFC Fight Night: Durden vs. OchoaOchoa won
- UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. BarcelosBarcelos won
- UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. DemopoulosHorth won
- UFC Fight Night: Menifield vs. SyMenifield won
- UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. MaverickNamajunas won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowe vs. LoosaRowe won
- UFC Fight Night: Simon vs. Smotherman Simon won
- UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. BuckleyUsman won
- UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. MoutinhoWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.