UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelos

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e52a23d850fc0d2514f3ab856a72253782b799a6dc1764d5800bf22fcc2d7d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Barcelosof Garbrandt, Barcelos
Resolved: Jun 15, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $62,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $79,875

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xce77…35d5backed Barcelos	68c	14,630$9,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,671.1	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Garbrandt	41c	6,302$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.92	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Barcelos	71c	6,000$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,739.96	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Barcelos	78c	4,660$3,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.6	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Garbrandt	28c	3,479$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.54	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Garbrandt	29c	2,000$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.66	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Garbrandt	29c	2,000$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Garbrandt	28c	1,817$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.76	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Garbrandt	8c	1,557$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee0…98cfbacked Garbrandt	53c	1,534$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Garbrandt	29c	1,527$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.41	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Barcelos	70c	1,419$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.6	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…78f5backed Barcelos	71c	1,234$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.86	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.3wins	-0.45per pick	65cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Barcelos	54c	1,027$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.36	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Barcelos	73c	1,000$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Barcelos	79c	1,000$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Garbrandt	30c	999.99$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Garbrandt	28c	999.62$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.58	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Garbrandt	29c	720.69$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Barcelos	72c	690.14$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.14	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Garbrandt	61c	559.33$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.19	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Garbrandt	30c	550$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.3	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Garbrandt	32c	497.8$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.3	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Garbrandt	58c	469.98$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.89	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Garbrandt	33c	458.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Barcelos	68c	458.43$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.7	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Barcelos	70c	454.37$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.31	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Barcelos	48c	439.71$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.76	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Garbrandt	30c	423$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.9	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Garbrandt	30c	402.25$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.75	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Barcelos	72c	400$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-5.6wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Garbrandt	27c	350$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Barcelos	67c	313.94$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.6	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…103abacked Garbrandt	29c	310.34$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Garbrandt	32c	308.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Garbrandt	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Garbrandt	28c	299.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa147…3fccbacked Barcelos	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7a…13abbacked Garbrandt	16c	293.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Garbrandt	49c	289.37$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Garbrandt	35c	280$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.72	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Garbrandt	34c	275$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Barcelos	59c	250.2$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.7	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d73…3414backed Barcelos	59c	246.58$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.89	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Garbrandt	28c	225$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Barcelos	51c	215.64$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.15	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Barcelos	73c	198.73$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.73	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Garbrandt	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Barcelos	72c	140.28$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x804a…6c38backed Garbrandt	30c	136.67$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Garbrandt	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f1…d83fbacked Garbrandt	29c	120.69$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Barcelos	73c	112.04$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.25	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Garbrandt	35c	109.52$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.59	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32dc…cac5backed Barcelos	72c	104.81$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.81	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Barcelos	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Barcelos	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Garbrandt	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Garbrandt	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-9.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Barcelos	63c	100$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.7	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Garbrandt	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed Barcelos	54c	83.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Garbrandt	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Garbrandt	50c	77.34$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Garbrandt	26c	74.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Barcelos	56c	73.11$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.17	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Garbrandt	28c	72.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.22	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea6…674dbacked Barcelos	72c	72.22$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.22	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Garbrandt	49c	71.23$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Barcelos	72c	66.74$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Garbrandt	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Garbrandt	35c	60$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Garbrandt	29c	58.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Barcelos	64c	55.53$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	143	55.9%80 W · 63 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Garbrandt	29c	55.17$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33b3…9f56backed Garbrandt	52c	55$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…cf4cbacked Garbrandt	38c	52.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6f…9c65backed Garbrandt	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Garbrandt	30c	45.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Barcelos	43c	44.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.27	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Garbrandt	39c	43.86$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Barcelos	43c	42.52$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21af…673fbacked Barcelos	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb368…8907backed Garbrandt	32c	40.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Garbrandt	39c	30.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Barcelos	57c	30.27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30cc…5ed3backed Garbrandt	37c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Barcelos	65c	28.46$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Barcelos	62c	27.03$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.27	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Barcelos	65c	25.06$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.8	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Barcelos	64c	24.43$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.79	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Barcelos	65c	20.92$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelosthis page
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Malik vs. BrundageAbdul-Malik won
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. McGeeChiesa won
UFC Fight Night: Durden vs. OchoaOchoa won
UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. DemopoulosHorth won
UFC Fight Night: Menifield vs. SyMenifield won
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. MaverickNamajunas won
UFC Fight Night: Rowe vs. LoosaRowe won
UFC Fight Night: Shahbazyan vs. PetroskiShahbazyan won
UFC Fight Night: Simon vs. Smotherman Simon won
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. BuckleyUsman won
UFC Fight Night: Wellmaker vs. MoutinhoWellmaker won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Garbrandt vs. Barcelos

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event