MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3884052509330bdc1ffee22c241feecd2f3abd899d7e511c59637b3b23b2a1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $376,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Giants | 52c | 147,779$76,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,572.46 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 48c | 116,049$55,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,345.6 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mets | 48c | 46,655$22,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,415.93 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 45c | 20,003$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,003.37 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mets | 49c | 16,900$8,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,619 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 50c | 10,719$5,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,325.42 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Giants | 62c | 8,134$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.67 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 55c | 8,064$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.81 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Mets | 38c | 5,948$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.85 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…2f6bbacked Mets | 49c | 4,896$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.66 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 49c | 4,058$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.45 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mets | 37c | 3,595$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 49c | 3,233$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.94 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants | 59c | 3,214$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.71 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mets | 51c | 2,719$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.62 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 49c | 2,542$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 38c | 2,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.91 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mets | 44c | 1,997$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.2 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Giants | 55c | 1,876$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.92 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mets | 49c | 1,866$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.48 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Mets | 50c | 1,850$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 48c | 1,817$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.34 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 32c | 1,770$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.96 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Giants | 50c | 1,662$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.04 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mets | 43c | 1,576$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.26 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 49c | 1,484$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mets | 41c | 1,351$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.38 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Giants | 52c | 1,204$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.32 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 46c | 1,118$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Giants | 49c | 1,038$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.49 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Giants | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 58c | 955.87$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Giants | 13c | 942.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 55c | 899.62$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Giants | 63c | 870.08$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 50c | 861.52$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.76 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Giants | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 50c | 730.13$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Mets | 49c | 688.91$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.34 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Giants | 33c | 632$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 49c | 584$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Giants | 64c | 499.72$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.82 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Giants | 51c | 489.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 49c | 461$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Giants | 70c | 449.17$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e29…5ec9backed Mets | 50c | 426.68$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 61c | 413.32$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mets | 52c | 385.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 40c | 346.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants | 54c | 325.62$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 13c | 318.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Mets | 32c | 315.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Mets | 49c | 298.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Giants | 32c | 266.74$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ff…7a3bbacked Giants | 53c | 254.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Giants | 53c | 251.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Mets | 31c | 241.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Mets | 62c | 238.6$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mets | 44c | 232.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.17 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Mets | 49c | 230.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.61 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd971…4471backed Mets | 63c | 229.94$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Giants | 40c | 209.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Mets | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mets | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Giants | 62c | 199.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Mets | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mets | 44c | 182.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.61 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Mets | 44c | 180$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mets | 44c | 178$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Mets | 44c | 167.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 48c | 163.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Mets | 47c | 160.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Mets | 50c | 147.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Giants | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 55c | 132.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Mets | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Giants | 29c | 122.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Mets | 45c | 119.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Mets | 43c | 115.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Giants | 50c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Mets | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Mets | 38c | 101.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Giants | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Giants | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.