UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01daadc782c980ece31f6b537c70d6b96ecf51a2c2f269359984ebbbe83587a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garcia of Kattar, Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Kattar | 23c | 8,130$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.69 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Kattar | 40c | 6,189$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Kattar | 45c | 5,599$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.94 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Kattar | 41c | 5,164$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kattar | 13c | 4,910$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.1 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Garcia | 61c | 4,718$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.17 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Garcia | 59c | 4,624$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.93 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Garcia | 77c | 4,446$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.65 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Garcia | 59c | 4,389$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.28 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…c0d7backed Garcia | 55c | 3,653$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Garcia | 50c | 3,533$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.38 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kattar | 44c | 3,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Garcia | 55c | 2,910$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.31 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Garcia | 59c | 2,450$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.49 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kattar | 40c | 2,297$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.46 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kattar | 38c | 2,233$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.56 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Kattar | 39c | 2,183$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.45 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Garcia | 61c | 1,960$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.8 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Garcia | 54c | 1,295$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Garcia | 53c | 1,120$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Garcia | 67c | 1,112$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.43 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Garcia | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kattar | 39c | 1,050$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kattar | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.52 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garcia | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Kattar | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kattar | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Garcia | 62c | 861.98$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.55 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Kattar | 45c | 832.33$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.86 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Garcia | 60c | 804.76$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.91 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kattar | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Garcia | 55c | 779.2$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Kattar | 40c | 746.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Garcia | 54c | 734.94$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Kattar | 39c | 696.79$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Garcia | 54c | 668.2$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.37 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Garcia | 69c | 650.41$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.05 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Kattar | 47c | 642.77$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.89 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Kattar | 46c | 628.61$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Kattar | 46c | 622.35$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Garcia | 62c | 610.35$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.93 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Kattar | 40c | 599.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.99 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…551fbacked Garcia | 54c | 553.72$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Garcia | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Kattar | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Kattar | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Garcia | 55c | 460$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…d11ebacked Garcia | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Kattar | 44c | 450$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Kattar | 49c | 421$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.52 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Kattar | 49c | 420.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed Garcia | 60c | 418.66$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…95fcbacked Garcia | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Kattar | 6c | 395$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Garcia | 67c | 389.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Garcia | 61c | 369.06$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Garcia | 57c | 349.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.49 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Kattar | 35c | 342$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Kattar | 39c | 333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Garcia | 56c | 319.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Garcia | 53c | 318$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kattar | 46c | 270$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Garcia | 61c | 266.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…45a2backed Garcia | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Garcia | 59c | 246.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Kattar | 40c | 234.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…aa6bbacked Kattar | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Garcia | 59c | 228$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…812cbacked Kattar | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Kattar | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Garcia | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Garcia | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Kattar | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Garcia | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kattar | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Garcia | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Kattar | 46c | 199.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Garcia | 55c | 182.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Kattar | 34c | 179.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kattar | 9c | 175.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kattar | 39c | 175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Garcia | 61c | 174.11$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Garcia | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Kattar | 40c | 146.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Kattar | 39c | 141.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Garcia | 54c | 134.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Kattar | 40c | 130.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…a076backed Garcia | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Garcia | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Kattar | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…745fbacked Garcia | 58c | 120.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Kattar | 42c | 114.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Garcia | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Kattar | 18c | 112.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Garcia | 54c | 109.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Kattar | 44c | 101.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Kattar | 40c | 100.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Kattar | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Kattar | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Garcia | 53c | 87.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. CurtisCurtis won
- UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezKline won
- UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. CharrièreCharrière won
- UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. TeixeiraLewis won
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. NjokuaniMatthews won
- UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. MouraMoura won
- UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. WalkerWalker won
- UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. LanePetrino won
- UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. DavisDavis won
- UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. TokkosTokkos won
- UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. BonfimBonfim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.