TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garcia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garcia of Kattar, Garcia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce77…35d5backed Kattar23c8,130$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.696051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Kattar40c6,189$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.671643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Kattar45c5,599$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.9410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Kattar41c5,164$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kattar13c4,910$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.114929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Garcia 61c4,718$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Garcia 59c4,624$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.937853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Garcia 77c4,446$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.6510443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Garcia 59c4,389$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.2822259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Garcia 55c3,653$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Garcia 50c3,533$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.3835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Kattar44c3,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.988348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Garcia 55c2,910$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.314742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…2626backed Garcia 59c2,450$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.498256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kattar40c2,297$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.4623537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kattar38c2,233$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.5637152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kattar39c2,183$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.456050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Garcia 61c1,960$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.824356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Garcia 54c1,295$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.243745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Garcia 53c1,120$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Garcia 67c1,112$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.436555.4%36 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Garcia 55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.916262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kattar39c1,050$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.535826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Kattar47c1,019$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5211844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Garcia 61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Kattar38c999.96$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.993943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Kattar45c999.96$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9822144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Garcia 62c861.98$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.559744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Kattar45c832.33$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8616851.8%87 W · 81 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Garcia 60c804.76$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.9118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kattar40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32018145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Garcia 55c779.2$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.235664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Kattar40c746.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.545147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Garcia 54c734.94$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.974934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5edb…6ff1backed Kattar39c696.79$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Garcia 54c668.2$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.3729848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Garcia 69c650.41$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.056746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Kattar47c642.77$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8918644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Kattar46c628.61$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.1620249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Kattar46c622.35$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.510041%41 W · 59 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Garcia 62c610.35$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9310040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Kattar40c599.98$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9912055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa7d…551fbacked Garcia 54c553.72$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Garcia 77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.481478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Kattar40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Kattar43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Garcia 55c460$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20813160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4309…d11ebacked Garcia 55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.55560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Kattar44c450$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Kattar49c421$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.524161%25 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Kattar49c420.98$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.912934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…b1e6backed Garcia 60c418.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.691250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b28…95fcbacked Garcia 74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.411172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Kattar6c395$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.35632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Garcia 67c389.05$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5824862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Garcia 61c369.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9339959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Garcia 57c349.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4910452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Kattar35c342$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.122924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Kattar39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8723850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Garcia 56c319.12$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4112262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Garcia 53c318$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.463743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kattar46c270$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12456450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Garcia 61c266.72$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.722846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e96…45a2backed Garcia 62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Garcia 59c246.67$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked Kattar40c234.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…aa6bbacked Kattar43c230.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Garcia 59c228$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4833253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bb…812cbacked Kattar45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Kattar40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806456.3%36 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Garcia 80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Garcia 61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788036.3%29 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Kattar39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Garcia 52c199.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Kattar43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8614144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Garcia 56c199.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Kattar46c199.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.991513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-67.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Garcia 55c182.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.338932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Kattar34c179.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.065736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kattar9c175.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.343933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Kattar39c175$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2513041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Garcia 61c174.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.92955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Garcia 62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2932545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Kattar40c146.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Kattar39c141.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.223342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Garcia 54c134.13$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.471353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Kattar40c130.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Garcia 80c130$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.114858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Garcia 77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Kattar39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…745fbacked Garcia 58c120.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.783063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Kattar42c114.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Garcia 62c112.9$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.93342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Kattar18c112.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.776036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Garcia 54c109.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3822342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Kattar44c101.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…b82cbacked Kattar40c100.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Kattar40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Kattar39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.251330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1f…94aabacked Garcia 53c87.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.352365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.