UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a49368e571ef30db0f6e5deb7a35f24d21da7b0b49905cff69ea7fec056eee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lewisof Lewis, Teixeira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5edb…6ff1backed Teixeira | 73c | 228,267$167,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,297.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Teixeira | 73c | 84,566$61,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,717.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Lewis | 27c | 77,953$20,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,033.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Lewis | 27c | 73,965$19,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,034.25 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Lewis | 27c | 64,860$17,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,347.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lewis | 39c | 59,803$23,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,253.27 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lewis | 28c | 41,816$11,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,942.23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lewis | 27c | 17,190$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,634.65 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Teixeira | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,950 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…78f5backed Teixeira | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Teixeira | 71c | 11,070$7,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,907.07 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Teixeira | 71c | 10,034$7,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,166.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lewis | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Teixeira | 73c | 8,504$6,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Lewis | 28c | 8,500$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.55 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lewis | 60c | 5,556$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.46 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Lewis | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.97 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Teixeira | 78c | 4,616$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Teixeira | 28c | 4,477$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.38 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Teixeira | 23c | 4,142$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.64 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Teixeira | 6c | 3,998$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lewis | 70c | 3,769$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.4 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Lewis | 27c | 3,481$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.05 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Teixeira | 6c | 3,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Teixeira | 6c | 3,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Lewis | 29c | 3,117$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.78 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lewis | 28c | 3,105$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.45 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lewis | 25c | 3,000$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7d…551fbacked Teixeira | 74c | 2,694$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…87b1backed Teixeira | 75c | 2,670$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Teixeira | 2c | 2,510$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Teixeira | 73c | 2,100$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Teixeira | 73c | 1,999$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.27 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lewis | 27c | 1,971$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.79 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…829dbacked Teixeira | 73c | 1,967$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Lewis | 28c | 1,916$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Teixeira | 74c | 1,892$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Lewis | 27c | 1,849$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Lewis | 27c | 1,831$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.66 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Teixeira | 72c | 1,750$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Lewis | 27c | 1,618$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.14 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Lewis | 27c | 1,577$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.19 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Lewis | 27c | 1,562$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.45 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Lewis | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lewis | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.99 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lewis | 29c | 1,476$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.98 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Teixeira | 15c | 1,432$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Teixeira | 10c | 1,355$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.13 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Lewis | 30c | 1,290$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Teixeira | 6c | 1,211$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…bb74backed Lewis | 29c | 1,070$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.97 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Teixeira | 23c | 1,050$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Lewis | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Lewis | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92a…35fbbacked Teixeira | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Teixeira | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Lewis | 25c | 981.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Teixeira | 71c | 921.57$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Lewis | 28c | 846.5$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Teixeira | 73c | 808.37$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.72 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Teixeira | 70c | 792.21$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.55 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lewis | 28c | 789.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…c514backed Lewis | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lewis | 27c | 740$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.2 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Lewis | 27c | 690.13$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Lewis | 25c | 650$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Lewis | 27c | 641.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.53 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Teixeira | 73c | 634$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Lewis | 29c | 594.38$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lewis | 23c | 560.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Lewis | 27c | 541.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Lewis | 30c | 541$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Teixeira | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Teixeira | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Teixeira | 72c | 500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.14 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lewis | 23c | 492.87$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.59 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Teixeira | 76c | 479$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.05 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Lewis | 28c | 441.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.58 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…c998backed Lewis | 27c | 418.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Teixeira | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Teixeira | 71c | 390$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Lewis | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Teixeira | 69c | 367.57$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Lewis | 28c | 366.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.4 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Teixeira | 74c | 360$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…948dbacked Lewis | 27c | 353.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.93 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Lewis | 28c | 350$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Lewis | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Teixeira | 73c | 335$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.55 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…d3f0backed Lewis | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Lewis | 28c | 328.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Lewis | 28c | 314.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…8de5backed Teixeira | 73c | 301.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…bb5dbacked Lewis | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…6c38backed Lewis | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Lewis | 28c | 293.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…aa6bbacked Teixeira | 73c | 291.58$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…d11ebacked Teixeira | 72c | 277.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…50acbacked Teixeira | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…45a2backed Lewis | 29c | 269.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirathis page
- UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. CurtisCurtis won
- UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. GarciaGarcia won
- UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezKline won
- UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. CharrièreCharrière won
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. NjokuaniMatthews won
- UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. MouraMoura won
- UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. WalkerWalker won
- UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. LanePetrino won
- UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. DavisDavis won
- UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. TokkosTokkos won
- UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. BonfimBonfim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.