UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkos

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5606e91fbfb8a4549ed75717c3fa615a18d584d1bdb87cccb96c0859aab4cd9c

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Tokkosof Tafa, Tokkos
Resolved: Jul 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $59,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,430 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f7d…cd1cbacked Tafa	63c	2,618$1,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.11	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Tokkos	35c	2,498$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,628.78	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Tokkos	34c	2,416$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,602.39	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Tafa	66c	2,055$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.3	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Tafa	64c	1,993$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tafa	54c	1,716$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.63	149	29.5%44 W · 105 L	-15.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tokkos	38c	1,695$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.37	104	43.3%45 W · 59 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Tafa	60c	1,402$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.25	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Tafa	65c	1,085$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tokkos	35c	1,085$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.85	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tokkos	33c	1,072$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720.3	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tokkos	37c	1,016$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.98	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Tokkos	36c	1,000$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Tokkos	37c	1,000$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Tokkos	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	100	41%41 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tafa	63c	1,000$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.43	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tafa	34c	865$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.21	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Tafa	49c	837.74$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.29	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Tafa	69c	699.99$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.99	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Tafa	2c	696.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tafa	63c	690$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.7	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…b82cbacked Tokkos	36c	678.71$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.52	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Tokkos	41c	640.86$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.01	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+5.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Tokkos	79c	632.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.91	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Tafa	61c	571.1$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.84	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.28per pick	62cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Tafa	66c	502$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.32	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Tokkos	36c	500$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tafa	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Tafa	11c	500$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe89e…bb74backed Tafa	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb18b…4e0ebacked Tafa	63c	476.19$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.22per pick	60cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Tafa	60c	439.83$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.9	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Tafa	70c	431.1$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tafa	67c	428.95$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.39	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf635…e876backed Tokkos	31c	426.08$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.12	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Tokkos	38c	421.05$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.05	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Tokkos	39c	418$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.7	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Tafa	67c	407.4$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.96	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Tokkos	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4309…d11ebacked Tafa	63c	398.31$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f7…050bbacked Tafa	70c	351.95$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	68cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Tafa	61c	351.17$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.21	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tokkos	29c	345.12$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.03	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Tokkos	33c	328.57$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.92	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tafa	64c	325$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	243	56.8%138 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0e…fdb4backed Tafa	70c	315.17$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Tokkos	40c	299.98$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.99	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Tokkos	39c	299.98$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.99	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Tokkos	35c	279.97$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.58	248	47.2%117 W · 131 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Tafa	63c	271$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.73	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tokkos	36c	268$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.61	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-4.9wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Tafa	64c	221.69$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.88	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tokkos	37c	219.99$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.8	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tokkos	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	141	44.7%63 W · 78 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tafa	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Tafa	66c	200$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.29	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Tokkos	33c	199.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Tokkos	30c	199.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.99	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Tafa	62c	179.98$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.39	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tafa	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x239a…a0c6backed Tafa	58c	170.23$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.33	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Tafa	68c	170$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.6	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	-12.6wins	-0.15per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Tafa	54c	166.13$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.71	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-9.8wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Tafa	71c	140.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Tafa	70c	139.29$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Tokkos	45c	136.88$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.17	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Tafa	54c	125.6$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.82	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Tokkos	36c	112$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.68	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Tokkos	47c	109$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.08	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Tokkos	45c	100.54$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.54	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tafa	62c	91.93$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tokkos	38c	86.13$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.45	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Tafa	65c	84.38$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	227	53.3%121 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Tokkos	24c	70.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.52	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Tokkos	22c	70.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.93	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tafa	71c	70.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	223	34.1%76 W · 147 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Tokkos	39c	69.77$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.56	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Tokkos	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.8wins	+0.34per pick	44cpaid	+97%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Tokkos	51c	57.04$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.89	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Tokkos	37c	56.76$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.76	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Tokkos	42c	50$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Tafa	51c	49.8$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-4.3wins	-0.28per pick	55cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Tafa	66c	45.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	126	39.7%50 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Tafa	72c	40$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc90…a076backed Tafa	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.33	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Tokkos	33c	36.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.36	75	48%36 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Tokkos	40c	35.17$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.17	99	50.5%50 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2e…49f5backed Tafa	64c	34.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Tokkos	30c	34$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.8	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Tokkos	43c	32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.38	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Tafa	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Tafa	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Tafa	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc485…948dbacked Tafa	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a2…437abacked Tokkos	37c	27.22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.63per pick	37cpaid	+170.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Tafa	59c	26.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.83	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Tafa	41c	26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Tafa	72c	25.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.64	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Tafa	70c	25.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Tafa	71c	25.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+7.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosthis page
UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. CurtisCurtis won
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. GarciaGarcia won
UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezKline won
UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. CharrièreCharrière won
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. TeixeiraLewis won
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. NjokuaniMatthews won
UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. MouraMoura won
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. WalkerWalker won
UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. LanePetrino won
UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. DavisDavis won
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. BonfimBonfim won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkos

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event