UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d5a768b2dcd7aba7e6df49eeeed5ccc86fb733a8e02f51a560b417e815dbe51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthews of Matthews , Njokuani
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Njokuani | 51c | 11,533$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…254fbacked Njokuani | 58c | 6,593$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Njokuani | 56c | 5,179$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.8 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Matthews | 44c | 4,414$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.85 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Matthews | 49c | 4,031$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.46 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Matthews | 43c | 3,387$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Matthews | 43c | 2,976$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.98 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Matthews | 49c | 2,655$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.06 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Matthews | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…c0d7backed Njokuani | 58c | 1,737$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Matthews | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Matthews | 68c | 1,494$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.21 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Matthews | 42c | 1,434$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.95 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Njokuani | 50c | 1,336$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Matthews | 42c | 1,170$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.77 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…4e9abacked Matthews | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Matthews | 49c | 1,007$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.23 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Njokuani | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Matthews | 42c | 932.59$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Matthews | 48c | 906.4$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.27 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e7…c7c7backed Njokuani | 58c | 902.95$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Njokuani | 52c | 794.22$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.99 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Matthews | 48c | 756.65$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Matthews | 43c | 733.52$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.44 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Njokuani | 57c | 677$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.89 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Matthews | 44c | 557.56$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Matthews | 48c | 514.65$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.62 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Njokuani | 57c | 510.21$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…35d5backed Matthews | 41c | 464.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Matthews | 44c | 433.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Matthews | 50c | 411.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Matthews | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Njokuani | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Njokuani | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Njokuani | 56c | 390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Njokuani | 55c | 361.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Njokuani | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Njokuani | 58c | 255.64$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.27 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Njokuani | 51c | 251.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Njokuani | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Matthews | 44c | 249.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Njokuani | 58c | 232.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Njokuani | 48c | 229.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Njokuani | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Njokuani | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Matthews | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Njokuani | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Njokuani | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Njokuani | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Matthews | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…e7c2backed Njokuani | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Njokuani | 53c | 155.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Matthews | 49c | 153.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Njokuani | 55c | 150.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Matthews | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…45a2backed Matthews | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Njokuani | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Matthews | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Njokuani | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Matthews | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Njokuani | 59c | 85.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…aa6bbacked Matthews | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Njokuani | 52c | 82.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cd…a252backed Matthews | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Njokuani | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Njokuani | 53c | 69.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Matthews | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Matthews | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Njokuani | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Matthews | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Matthews | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Njokuani | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…e895backed Njokuani | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Matthews | 43c | 31.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…053fbacked Njokuani | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…c5c6backed Matthews | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Matthews | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked Njokuani | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…81bfbacked Njokuani | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9075backed Njokuani | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…2e34backed Matthews | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…4e95backed Matthews | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Matthews | 54c | 24.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…818ebacked Njokuani | 57c | 22.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…b6b4backed Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…998abacked Njokuani | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…c796backed Njokuani | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d63…2e26backed Njokuani | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…211fbacked Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…4b9bbacked Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…d37abacked Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…e590backed Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…a3a3backed Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…b600backed Njokuani | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…56b3backed Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…77f6backed Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe7…5a35backed Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dc…2053backed Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…beabbacked Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…a18abacked Matthews | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuanithis page
- UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. CurtisCurtis won
- UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. GarciaGarcia won
- UFC Fight Night: Kline vs. MartinezKline won
- UFC Fight Night: Landwehr vs. CharrièreCharrière won
- UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. TeixeiraLewis won
- UFC Fight Night: Murphy vs. MouraMoura won
- UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. WalkerWalker won
- UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. LanePetrino won
- UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. DavisDavis won
- UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. TokkosTokkos won
- UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. BonfimBonfim won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.