TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuani

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matthews of Matthews , Njokuani
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Njokuani51c11,533$5,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,882.032147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…254fbacked Njokuani58c6,593$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8004161%25 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Njokuani56c5,179$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Matthews 44c4,414$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.8512262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Matthews 49c4,031$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.4612541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Matthews 43c3,387$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9193933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Matthews 43c2,976$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.9821044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Matthews 49c2,655$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.063458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Matthews 49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8220233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Njokuani58c1,737$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c10…35dcbacked Matthews 43c1,700$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Matthews 68c1,494$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2128143.1%121 W · 160 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Matthews 42c1,434$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Njokuani50c1,336$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Matthews 42c1,170$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.7712235.2%43 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Matthews 49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Matthews 49c1,007$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.236031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Njokuani58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Matthews 42c932.59$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.98348.2%40 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Matthews 48c906.4$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2751533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e7…c7c7backed Njokuani58c902.95$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-47.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Njokuani52c794.22$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9910443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Matthews 48c756.65$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.468826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Matthews 43c733.52$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.448544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Njokuani57c677$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.896653%35 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Matthews 44c557.56$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.282934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Matthews 48c514.65$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.626533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Njokuani57c510.21$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.727545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce77…35d5backed Matthews 41c464.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.236051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Matthews 44c433.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.810447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d3…b82cbacked Matthews 50c411.96$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Matthews 49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Njokuani56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22424356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Njokuani52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Njokuani56c390$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.419544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Njokuani55c361.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029948.8%146 W · 153 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Njokuani52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15636745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Njokuani58c255.64$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2713735.8%49 W · 88 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Njokuani51c251.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5223850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Njokuani56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14012159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Matthews 44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9954056.7%306 W · 234 L-1.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Njokuani58c232.62$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Njokuani48c229.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.6724847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Njokuani54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10832545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Njokuani54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Matthews 48c194$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8820249%99 W · 103 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Njokuani52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Njokuani52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Njokuani54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Matthews 43c180$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.614144.7%63 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…e7c2backed Njokuani56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Njokuani53c155.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.241729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-50.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Matthews 49c153.66$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.662846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Njokuani55c150.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2333948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Matthews 42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0516058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…45a2backed Matthews 49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.242263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+49%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Njokuani53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Matthews 49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Njokuani58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5824862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Matthews 48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522536%9 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Njokuani59c85.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4213160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…aa6bbacked Matthews 48c82.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaade…64eabacked Njokuani52c82.15$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.724139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1cd…a252backed Matthews 49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.633342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed Njokuani52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405038%19 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Njokuani53c69.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Matthews 49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Matthews 46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.486360.3%38 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Njokuani58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Matthews 48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.677548%36 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Matthews 48c41.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.59950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Njokuani53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…e895backed Njokuani59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Matthews 43c31.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.786755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd63d…053fbacked Njokuani50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0f…c5c6backed Matthews 50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Matthews 49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.34per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9c65…845dbacked Njokuani54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1261…81bfbacked Njokuani50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d28…9075backed Njokuani55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x558c…2e34backed Matthews 45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick45cpaid+124.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5de…4e95backed Matthews 50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Matthews 54c24.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.184067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ba…818ebacked Njokuani57c22.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b4…b6b4backed Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfc…998abacked Njokuani55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a2d…c796backed Njokuani58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d63…2e26backed Njokuani55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed8…211fbacked Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdedd…4b9bbacked Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53c9…d37abacked Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…e590backed Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc94…a3a3backed Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7e…b600backed Njokuani50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdafc…56b3backed Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02dc…77f6backed Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe7…5a35backed Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0dc…2053backed Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…beabbacked Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e00…a18abacked Matthews 50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.