Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. DRX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8b343e771f8559eeae9b056e8642b5b0c99804c12f9ce12fe09bda19bcbe69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof DN Freecs, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked DN Freecs | 35c | 40,062$14,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,117.74 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed DRX | 65c | 31,900$20,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,165 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed DN Freecs | 35c | 12,962$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.02 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed DN Freecs | 12c | 10,100$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed DRX | 67c | 9,268$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.34 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed DRX | 65c | 6,388$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.07 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed DRX | 67c | 5,485$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.24 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked DN Freecs | 24c | 4,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed DN Freecs | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed DRX | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked DRX | 66c | 2,927$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed DRX | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked DN Freecs | 45c | 2,015$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.24 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked DRX | 67c | 1,828$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.1 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX | 59c | 1,772$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.16 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed DRX | 67c | 1,549$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.44 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked DRX | 65c | 1,545$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.75 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed DN Freecs | 24c | 1,500$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.55 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN Freecs | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed DN Freecs | 37c | 1,410$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.1 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked DN Freecs | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DN Freecs | 33c | 890.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.29 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f37bbacked DRX | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked DRX | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed DRX | 75c | 622.28$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked DN Freecs | 36c | 601.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.44 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed DN Freecs | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked DRX | 66c | 516.6$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked DN Freecs | 12c | 512.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked DRX | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DRX | 70c | 433.04$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed DRX | 66c | 345$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed DRX | 65c | 337.08$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed DN Freecs | 27c | 330$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed DRX | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked DRX | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX | 64c | 262.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed DRX | 77c | 237$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed DRX | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed DN Freecs | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed DN Freecs | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed DN Freecs | 32c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed DRX | 66c | 169.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked DRX | 63c | 168.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed DRX | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed DRX | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed DRX | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed DRX | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed DN Freecs | 20c | 149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed DRX | 80c | 143.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed DRX | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed DRX | 68c | 101.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked DRX | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed DRX | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed DRX | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed DN Freecs | 46c | 95.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked DRX | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…793dbacked DRX | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed DRX | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed DRX | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed DRX | 69c | 89.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed DRX | 67c | 87.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed DN Freecs | 40c | 66.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed DN Freecs | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed DRX | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…d442backed DN Freecs | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked DRX | 65c | 41.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed DN Freecs | 35c | 35.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed DRX | 65c | 32.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked DRX | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…ac68backed DRX | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked DRX | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed DRX | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…1c51backed DRX | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked DRX | 65c | 29.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed DN Freecs | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…6960backed DRX | 65c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked DRX | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.