Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf47751d15407929bef8e7c29a16c6390828b22090273b3a068699fafa04a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Weibo Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Weibo Gaming | 23c | 16,212$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.56 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 11,798$9,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.73 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 5,511$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.37 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 5,122$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Weibo Gaming | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 3,391$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.37 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Weibo Gaming | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 2,198$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Weibo Gaming | 32c | 2,192$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Weibo Gaming | 23c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.86 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,800$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Weibo Gaming | 12c | 1,155$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 1,078$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.4 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Weibo Gaming | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Weibo Gaming | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 689.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.63 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 603.08$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 555.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.17 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 489.66$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 440$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 434.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 360.41$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 205 | 63.9%131 W · 74 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Weibo Gaming | 6c | 358.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Weibo Gaming | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 344.93$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 217 | 29.5%64 W · 153 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Weibo Gaming | 18c | 313$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…1050backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Weibo Gaming | 10c | 310$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Weibo Gaming | 7c | 298$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Weibo Gaming | 18c | 292.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Weibo Gaming | 15c | 287.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 73c | 257.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Weibo Gaming | 30c | 254.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 227.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Weibo Gaming | 32c | 224.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Weibo Gaming | 17c | 197.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…1be9backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 190.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 190.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Weibo Gaming | 27c | 182.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 160.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,144 | 63.3%724 W · 420 L | +53.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccde…8f58backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 125.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Weibo Gaming | 31c | 122.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Weibo Gaming | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 108.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Weibo Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked Weibo Gaming | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Weibo Gaming | 31c | 97.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 79.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 67.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Weibo Gaming | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 648 | 46.5%301 W · 347 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked Weibo Gaming | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 25.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Bilibili Gaming | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…e1cdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Bilibili Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.