World Politics · resolved market
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea50ad381226afed4f2ab3647a26530d69494966b09c3314c7ef1e5d8f1b7ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 40c | 7,239$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.85 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 61c | 7,021$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 52c | 5,820$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 70c | 4,660$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…6229backed Yes | 49c | 4,050$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +159.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 21c | 3,494$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 37c | 3,324$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.83 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 16c | 3,317$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.87 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 65c | 3,316$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.61 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 65c | 2,969$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 41c | 2,961$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.33 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 40c | 2,802$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.17 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…5050backed Yes | 37c | 2,684$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 65c | 2,650$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,537$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.41 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 43c | 2,528$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 62c | 2,328$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.91 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a00bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,153$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 2,050$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 64c | 2,047$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,920$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…2229backed Yes | 17c | 1,912$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…0f90backed Yes | 29c | 1,899$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…7a44backed Yes | 12c | 1,760$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 59c | 1,686$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.8 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…829ebacked No | 71c | 1,662$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 44c | 1,587$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 61c | 1,430$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 56c | 1,402$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.95 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x190c…8cf4backed Yes | 43c | 1,393$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…10bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,378$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 1,219$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.21 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,172$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed No | 77c | 1,118$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 39c | 1,082$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…6e78backed No | 65c | 1,075$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 35c | 1,032$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 62c | 970$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.6 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed No | 59c | 906.23$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 885.22$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…3a47backed Yes | 29c | 879.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 29c | 800$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5218backed Yes | 5c | 775.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 769.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 43c | 751.58$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.65 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 67c | 746.68$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.41 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 29c | 744.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked No | 79c | 736.72$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…9cccbacked Yes | 40c | 730$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6792…b872backed No | 60c | 730$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 66c | 714.13$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 40c | 710.88$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 71c | 705.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 698.16$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 74c | 650$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 70c | 649.98$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…d171backed No | 55c | 622.77$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 20c | 571.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 60c | 555.48$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.19 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 61c | 555.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc050…d232backed Yes | 36c | 551.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes | 42c | 533.9$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.87 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…e0d2backed Yes | 44c | 531.11$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 25c | 474.43$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 42c | 447.77$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x136a…319dbacked Yes | 31c | 446.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…423bbacked No | 72c | 445.27$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 442.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 425.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 62c | 384.94$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 139 | 18%25 W · 114 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…494bbacked Yes | 38c | 374.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…7a1cbacked No | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 64c | 353.27$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.14 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 6c | 341.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 35c | 337.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 28c | 337.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes | 6c | 332.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 62c | 324.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…4bebbacked Yes | 44c | 322.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Yes | 31c | 322.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…5facbacked No | 62c | 322.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b44…230abacked No | 49c | 321$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed No | 63c | 315.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed No | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes | 5c | 304.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…1997backed Yes | 29c | 300.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 67c | 296.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 292.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 41c | 277.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.