F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06dbb4af8bb017b03f9433937a2391be9d8432b083022ae6e2ffeb13e28433ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 32c | 7,304$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.71 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 58c | 6,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.98 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 40c | 4,797$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 69c | 3,985$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 79c | 2,338$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 23c | 2,152$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 29c | 1,700$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 75c | 1,632$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…bf2bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,492$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Yes | 25c | 1,336$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed No | 77c | 1,276$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 33c | 1,067$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 9c | 757.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed No | 72c | 694.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 68c | 653.4$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…8ab6backed Yes | 6c | 624.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…b515backed No | 64c | 621.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 78c | 620.04$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Yes | 24c | 602.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f0babacked Yes | 25c | 601.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed Yes | 32c | 600$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 581.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 29c | 570.32$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.62 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 9c | 434.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 423.49$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.18 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 16c | 395.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…584fbacked No | 59c | 359.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…3062backed Yes | 41c | 328.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 26c | 325$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…58d5backed Yes | 26c | 298.87$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Yes | 43c | 247.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 24c | 246.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…0f3dbacked Yes | 41c | 246.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed No | 60c | 236.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…df81backed No | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 44c | 207$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…047dbacked Yes | 28c | 202.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Yes | 33c | 192$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…f4afbacked No | 65c | 188.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 29c | 172.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes | 31c | 168.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…b956backed Yes | 48c | 167.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 29c | 167.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 57c | 158.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…64a4backed No | 60c | 157.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…55eabacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…dc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 149.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Yes | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +195.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 35c | 126.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…373bbacked Yes | 27c | 122.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…bb8bbacked Yes | 41c | 121.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…54efbacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 62c | 112.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked No | 54c | 109.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…caa8backed Yes | 24c | 105.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ee…db90backed Yes | 41c | 102.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…ef2cbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…c3b5backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 71c | 99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…b344backed Yes | 25c | 95.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…996fbacked Yes | 42c | 93.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 52c | 93.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…6621backed Yes | 33c | 92.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…5a7cbacked Yes | 44c | 91.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…76d3backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…0c84backed No | 71c | 90.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…9189backed Yes | 22c | 86.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes | 26c | 77.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked Yes | 37c | 75.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…6f3abacked Yes | 33c | 74.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…786dbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…81b3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…3b56backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…a70dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f1…88adbacked Yes | 39c | 59.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…9c38backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…6a4dbacked Yes | 32c | 56.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…53b5backed Yes | 37c | 53.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0a…3b7ebacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…f1f0backed Yes | 25c | 52.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- WIll another driver win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.