F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a655d05d82bbe2424f0f4df3446a7962542d67fbc98cf6adef37fffc1fcf557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 1c | 230,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +710%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Yes | 11c | 12,403$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Yes | 66c | 5,500$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 5,081$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.6 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 74c | 3,968$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.29 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 1c | 3,334$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,246$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.62 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 38c | 2,594$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.61 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 24c | 2,533$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed No | 30c | 1,792$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.53 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…bf2bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,644$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed No | 23c | 1,261$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Yes | 25c | 1,211$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 22c | 1,152$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Yes | 26c | 1,061$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,048$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 75c | 996.07$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 53c | 962.36$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 67c | 936.72$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 14c | 928.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 23c | 913.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.32 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 877.26$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 12c | 869.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.85 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…0f3dbacked Yes | 37c | 788.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked No | 27c | 777.78$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…0661backed Yes | 75c | 667.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 8c | 633.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 35c | 598.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.95 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…466fbacked Yes | 71c | 583.31$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 18c | 562.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 550.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.92 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 34c | 543.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…4914backed Yes | 26c | 534.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b656backed Yes | 38c | 532.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 25c | 500.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 27c | 499.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 18c | 496$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +441.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…58d5backed Yes | 63c | 449.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 41c | 443.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 26c | 425.58$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.93 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 9c | 421.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.29 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 54c | 396.06$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…ec1fbacked Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…6a4dbacked Yes | 44c | 382.32$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…e466backed Yes | 33c | 362.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Yes | 11c | 359.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +349%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…615bbacked Yes | 19c | 340.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +421.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…edb2backed Yes | 11c | 320$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +355.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…67c7backed Yes | 57c | 308.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c28…7c3dbacked Yes | 10c | 303$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 13c | 300$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +689.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…562dbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 25c | 300$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…d9bebacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…e42abacked Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 15c | 264.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9a…bc84backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 78c | 243.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…bb8bbacked Yes | 38c | 238.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…518abacked Yes | 22c | 223.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +346.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 7c | 218.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.27 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…2885backed Yes | 62c | 213.96$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…c3b5backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 73c | 187.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…8ab6backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…1ba9backed Yes | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes | 73c | 165.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…17d8backed Yes | 74c | 163.79$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 16c | 163.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.41 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…d484backed Yes | 7c | 162.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7778…5553backed Yes | 52c | 160.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…1668backed Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…cc1bbacked Yes | 67c | 148.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 17c | 141.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 14c | 138.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…756ebacked Yes | 28c | 136.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…a633backed Yes | 15c | 135.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…385fbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…0699backed No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…7bd9backed Yes | 19c | 128.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…b344backed Yes | 66c | 125.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 74c | 125.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked Yes | 25c | 122.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…c75ebacked Yes | 20c | 116$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 70c | 115.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…0eeabacked Yes | 49c | 111.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…1fe3backed Yes | 27c | 111.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…db66backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 72c | 107.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…f2acbacked No | 29c | 104.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1152…caa8backed Yes | 29c | 104.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…99d4backed Yes | 21c | 103.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 102.35$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 41c | 100.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…0c6abacked Yes | 28c | 100.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 20cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the Qatar Grand Prix?this page
- WIll another driver win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Qatar Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.