Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb1d5fff1d8006a58a3647756d079b3dc024eb66937d8d4c17d343bbf0abd91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Cloud9 | 33c | 21,015$6,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,931.7 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked NRG | 67c | 11,850$7,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.47 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Cloud9 | 32c | 3,871$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…c2d0backed NRG | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG | 68c | 2,285$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.03 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed NRG | 67c | 1,598$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed NRG | 67c | 1,491$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed NRG | 66c | 1,345$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Cloud9 | 15c | 1,296$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…e1c2backed NRG | 67c | 1,126$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed NRG | 67c | 1,045$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.01 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed NRG | 67c | 956.27$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Cloud9 | 32c | 899.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NRG | 76c | 882.04$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NRG | 65c | 672.82$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.11 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Cloud9 | 31c | 636.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Cloud9 | 30c | 547.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…a519backed Cloud9 | 38c | 527.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed NRG | 67c | 522.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed NRG | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…2918backed Cloud9 | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…8b17backed Cloud9 | 31c | 490.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NRG | 67c | 453.18$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NRG | 62c | 397.61$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Cloud9 | 33c | 390$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cloud9 | 31c | 382.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc672…c604backed Cloud9 | 7c | 364.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed NRG | 71c | 357.52$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed NRG | 67c | 352.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NRG | 68c | 338$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…9daebacked Cloud9 | 35c | 330$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed NRG | 66c | 306$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed NRG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed NRG | 65c | 291.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…42b4backed Cloud9 | 25c | 277.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cloud9 | 26c | 236$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Cloud9 | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed NRG | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…7aa0backed Cloud9 | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…d27abacked Cloud9 | 11c | 172.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…4e62backed NRG | 68c | 168.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cloud9 | 27c | 159$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Cloud9 | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked NRG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cloud9 | 34c | 129.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked NRG | 64c | 127.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…13b0backed NRG | 69c | 115.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cloud9 | 26c | 114.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…7ebdbacked NRG | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NRG | 68c | 101.87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed NRG | 76c | 100.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cloud9 | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…cb80backed Cloud9 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked NRG | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Cloud9 | 21c | 79.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 72.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…cad0backed Cloud9 | 34c | 71.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed NRG | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud9 | 35c | 66.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…e852backed NRG | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked NRG | 66c | 62.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…bd2ebacked Cloud9 | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked NRG | 69c | 57.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed Cloud9 | 32c | 45.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…b33cbacked NRG | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Cloud9 | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…62adbacked NRG | 68c | 36.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…a1ccbacked NRG | 71c | 34.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f5e8backed NRG | 67c | 32.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NRG | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…0a8fbacked NRG | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed NRG | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…d623backed NRG | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked NRG | 69c | 16.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.