Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5656fdfa893efd3a8e63d7710513c370a4b79227f0ce93dd983bad0e3efe492d

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Team Heretics, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $61,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $68,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere	37c	7,339$2,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,620.93	343	56.9%195 W · 148 L	+23.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Heretics	63c	6,287$3,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960.78	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Heretics	1c	3,872$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	274	11.3%31 W · 243 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Heretics	47c	3,174$1,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,489.1	285	41.1%117 W · 168 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8157…f6ebbacked Natus Vincere	58c	2,729$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.78	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Heretics	45c	1,998$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.96	107	43.9%47 W · 60 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere	54c	1,905$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.51	796	50%398 W · 398 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere	59c	1,555$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.82	395	45.8%181 W · 214 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere	55c	1,266$698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.96	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Team Heretics	45c	1,100$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Natus Vincere	45c	1,028$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.64	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere	46c	895$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.77	337	59.6%201 W · 136 L	+18.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Natus Vincere	39c	863.15$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.52	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere	54c	732.39$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.82	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Natus Vincere	36c	657.52$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.54	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+97.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Team Heretics	42c	643.7$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Team Heretics	61c	595.63$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.33	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Heretics	43c	557.15$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.44	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Natus Vincere	39c	534.76$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacde…2f88backed Team Heretics	40c	432.16$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Heretics	41c	418.77$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.96	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Team Heretics	63c	396.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	342	53.2%182 W · 160 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere	65c	371.77$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.12	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Natus Vincere	38c	371.27$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.68	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere	62c	365.04$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.23	149	57.7%86 W · 63 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Heretics	37c	350.92$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.11	266	34.6%92 W · 174 L	-13.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d3…9f1bbacked Natus Vincere	62c	311$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.18	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Team Heretics	44c	302.07$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.41	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Heretics	45c	266$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.89	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed Team Heretics	47c	251.39$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.26	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Heretics	51c	249.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.5	166	39.2%65 W · 101 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team Heretics	63c	238.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Team Heretics	52c	213$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.76	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Heretics	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	144	47.2%68 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Team Heretics	35c	199.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Team Heretics	43c	183.49$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Team Heretics	55c	182.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Natus Vincere	56c	180$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e5b…0324backed Team Heretics	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5558…227bbacked Team Heretics	41c	156.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	83	33.7%28 W · 55 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Team Heretics	58c	156.15$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Team Heretics	56c	153.54$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.73	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Team Heretics	50c	153.1$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Natus Vincere	37c	144.44$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Natus Vincere	38c	134.23$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.67	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	52cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Team Heretics	49c	110.02$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.36	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Natus Vincere	55c	109.46$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.46	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Heretics	44c	106.89$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.67	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Natus Vincere	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Team Heretics	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.5	257	45.9%118 W · 139 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc46…a7ecbacked Team Heretics	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Team Heretics	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Team Heretics	53c	94.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Natus Vincere	37c	85$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.9	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Natus Vincere	37c	81.79$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.79	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Heretics	43c	76.94$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	114	33.3%38 W · 76 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed Natus Vincere	39c	76.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	125	56.8%71 W · 54 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Heretics	62c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Natus Vincere	68c	67$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.44	135	58.5%79 W · 56 L	+11.3wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0576…b485backed Natus Vincere	68c	64.78$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.78	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Natus Vincere	35c	63.86$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.51	258	43%111 W · 147 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…f5e8backed Team Heretics	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Natus Vincere	37c	49.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	140	37.9%53 W · 87 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Team Heretics	58c	49.98$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	150	42%63 W · 87 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddf…c9a6backed Team Heretics	52c	48.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Team Heretics	62c	47$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Natus Vincere	44c	46.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.05	212	40.1%85 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Heretics	65c	46.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Natus Vincere	45c	44.44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	428	40%171 W · 257 L	-22.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Natus Vincere	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9e…f22bbacked Team Heretics	42c	43.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-8.6wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x623f…a4cdbacked Team Heretics	69c	43.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0761…f885backed Natus Vincere	43c	43.36$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere	37c	42.96$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.06	229	55%126 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc776…2915backed Natus Vincere	49c	40.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.58	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc022…3da2backed Team Heretics	63c	39.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9dd…4306backed Team Heretics	65c	38.46$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Team Heretics	52c	36.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Team Heretics	45c	35.82$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d04…5794backed Natus Vincere	58c	35.76$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.13	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Team Heretics	38c	34.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Heretics	55c	34.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe869…c302backed Team Heretics	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8d…c35dbacked Team Heretics	53c	30.73$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Team Heretics	58c	30.59$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1818…fde7backed Team Heretics	67c	28.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.67per pick	67cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked Natus Vincere	58c	26.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Team Heretics	54c	24.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere	48c	24.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.8	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a08…c095backed Team Heretics	63c	23.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b98…e5d1backed Natus Vincere	65c	23.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	61cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b6…c475backed Team Heretics	65c	23.08$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Natus Vincere	60c	23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc20…0522backed Team Heretics	63c	22.22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Team Heretics	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fac…8dc4backed Team Heretics	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb108…7212backed Natus Vincere	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-8.4wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerTeam Heretics won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event