TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc776…2915

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$20.19
NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.88
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.24
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$6.67
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$13.92
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132%+$22.44
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.86
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$8.09
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$33.44
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+303.1%+$39.1
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$7.46
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+125.1%+$14.79
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.96
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+120.3%+$43.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.3
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$18.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+195.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+94.1%+$10.82
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+296.8%+$128.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+59.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+218.7%+$63.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navonebacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+48.1%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.2%+$3.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.