NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13a8642f1016597efa54ad149d5a59e8eaa1526c04aaf39e4d6e7560406c934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Lightning, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $996,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 49c | 176,949$86,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,813.37 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lightning | 51c | 63,881$32,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,579.36 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 55c | 44,141$24,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,331.83 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 52c | 40,847$21,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,111.31 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Lightning | 51c | 36,966$18,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,852.5 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 47c | 35,298$16,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,708.89 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Lightning | 52c | 17,961$9,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,339.8 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 20c | 17,244$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,839.41 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Lightning | 51c | 15,507$7,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.46 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Lightning | 58c | 13,089$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.77 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 48c | 12,707$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,607.43 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lightning | 63c | 11,043$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres | 58c | 10,954$6,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.71 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Lightning | 37c | 10,259$3,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795.83 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Sabres | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.7 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Lightning | 51c | 9,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.8 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lightning | 72c | 9,484$6,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,830.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sabres | 56c | 8,445$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 52c | 7,815$4,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.59 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Sabres | 19c | 7,095$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.27 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sabres | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 57c | 6,860$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.45 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 50c | 6,855$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.41 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Sabres | 49c | 6,633$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.65 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Sabres | 49c | 6,400$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sabres | 47c | 5,910$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.49 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 51c | 5,887$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.57 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 59c | 5,190$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.67 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 21c | 5,026$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.16 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Lightning | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Sabres | 48c | 3,969$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.32 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Lightning | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lightning | 52c | 3,812$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Sabres | 41c | 3,553$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.5 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 56c | 3,285$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 51c | 3,056$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.57 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Lightning | 52c | 3,031$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.1 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…c624backed Lightning | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Lightning | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Sabres | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…f9fbbacked Sabres | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.3 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Sabres | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 23c | 2,870$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.87 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sabres | 77c | 2,820$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.53 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Lightning | 49c | 2,782$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.01 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 48c | 2,614$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.91 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sabres | 49c | 2,049$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.3 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 30c | 2,034$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.03 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…d0c9backed Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lightning | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…7d92backed Sabres | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 51c | 2,000$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.33 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…c47fbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…23c1backed Sabres | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…369fbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…984fbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…7968backed Sabres | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…4949backed Lightning | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…a041backed Lightning | 51c | 1,995$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…2de5backed Sabres | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…2ad3backed Sabres | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…a9b3backed Lightning | 51c | 1,985$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Sabres | 50c | 1,984$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.93 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf378…cddbbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,980$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a8…63d1backed Sabres | 49c | 1,980$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…0e7fbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…50b7backed Sabres | 50c | 1,978$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ef…4180backed Sabres | 49c | 1,975$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…e0c3backed Lightning | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc584…a61bbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…3e30backed Sabres | 49c | 1,975$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…0b69backed Lightning | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…6629backed Sabres | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…4673backed Lightning | 51c | 1,970$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8553…5aa6backed Sabres | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98c…62cfbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…5c4ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,965$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…a29dbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,965$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…b241backed Lightning | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Lightning | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…6dfdbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,960$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…1c75backed Lightning | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…6c6cbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…7d82backed Sabres | 49c | 1,955$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8b…f533backed Lightning | 51c | 1,945$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…f205backed Sabres | 49c | 1,945$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…b7fcbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,945$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…c85ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,945$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fc…d6f0backed Lightning | 51c | 1,940$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…f9aebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…6d45backed Sabres | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…25f1backed Sabres | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…685ebacked Sabres | 49c | 1,940$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…14e6backed Lightning | 51c | 1,940$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Sabresthis page
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.