NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b595dd09eb63bfab40b818933685fbb46c08184ecf5f181d6d42ba29046d1b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,094 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 462,776$240,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222,381.51 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 53c | 219,365$116,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,295.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 47c | 130,175$61,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,182.09 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 75,872$36,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,418.77 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 72,259$34,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,681.44 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 60,021$30,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,409.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 49c | 57,256$27,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,976.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.96 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 39,211$19,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,211.32 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 47c | 35,000$16,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,450 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…5818backed Under | 51c | 28,500$14,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,535 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…ae73backed Over | 49c | 28,500$13,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,535 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 26,000$12,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,434.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 47c | 12,603$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 8,241$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.1 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.96 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 6,600$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.4 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 4,149$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.23 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 3,500$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,373$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.48 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1f2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,781$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 52c | 2,359$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.51 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.72 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 40c | 2,187$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.94 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 47c | 2,185$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.22 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 48c | 1,881$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.56 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,589$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.09 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,331$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.28 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Over | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 1,277$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 44c | 1,213$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.28 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,166$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.29 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Under | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 54c | 973.04$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.62 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 937$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.76 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 810$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 48c | 599.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 51c | 592.5$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 575.34$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76a8…73c8backed Under | 50c | 536$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 50c | 422.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 421.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 406$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…f739backed Under | 48c | 402.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe01d…a45cbacked Under | 49c | 362.24$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 326.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.13 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…e08fbacked Under | 51c | 313$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 48c | 312.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 306.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…6860backed Over | 49c | 304$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 49c | 299.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…d6efbacked Under | 51c | 299$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f01…aababacked Under | 51c | 287$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52d…8abfbacked Over | 49c | 287$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…54efbacked Over | 49c | 284$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf157…9468backed Under | 51c | 273$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…c704backed Under | 51c | 272$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 270.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…9aaebacked Over | 49c | 261$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a5…b9f8backed Over | 49c | 248$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 240.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.46 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…9aa9backed Over | 49c | 238$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 57c | 234$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 48c | 226.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 219$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 51c | 211.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 208$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 53c | 201.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee5…8559backed Over | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 52c | 192.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 52c | 191.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b3eabacked Under | 51c | 178$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…9dd0backed Over | 49c | 172$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Under | 59c | 165.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…0d73backed Under | 49c | 163.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…a789backed Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 49c | 157.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 54c | 148.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…4166backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 48c | 145.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 58c | 140.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…6e9ebacked Over | 53c | 123.78$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. SabresSabres won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Sabres won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.