TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54ee…0d73

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladinsbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.98
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.5
Michigan State Spartans vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.18
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$28.88
Boston Terriers vs. Navy Midshipmenbacked Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.6%+$66.97
East Carolina Pirates vs. UAB Blazersbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.95
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Utah Tech Trailblazersbacked Utah Tech Trailblazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$121.75
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Mercer Bearsbacked Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$21.03
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Wizards vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$4.27
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$23.95
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.09
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$34.83
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.6
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$75.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+240.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.51
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$51.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$19.94
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$161.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.