Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeec088a798a7f15ed0a89be01105b87317755b11b6de54dfe57fc76ee1f6095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,351 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 48,056$27,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,062.57 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 29,280$13,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,263.62 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 44c | 21,966$9,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,213.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 48c | 9,282$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 43c | 8,698$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 8,576$4,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 55c | 7,937$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 7,888$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.11 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 7,288$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.94 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 5,530$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.77 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.01 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 43c | 4,383$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,246$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 48c | 4,143$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,357$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 57c | 2,807$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 2,629$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.82 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 46c | 2,120$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,961$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.77 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 43c | 1,822$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.84 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 39c | 1,540$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 1,330$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.56 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 44c | 1,237$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.23 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 1,207$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yes | 55c | 1,113$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838d…3cbdbacked Yes | 35c | 890.03$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 44c | 865$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.51 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 57c | 807.02$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 43c | 752$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.91 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 54c | 710$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 58c | 620.69$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 52c | 620.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 607.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 45c | 600$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 39c | 540$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 499.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 482.97$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 59c | 473.75$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 464.03$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 442$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.36 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 56c | 391.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 40c | 380$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 315.2$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 42c | 300.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 45c | 300$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 293.66$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 251.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…b014backed Yes | 57c | 214.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 212$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.93 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 42c | 199.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 197.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 33c | 193$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 36c | 191.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…21eebacked No | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 176.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 58c | 172.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes | 55c | 172.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…5104backed No | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…7a40backed No | 47c | 166$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes | 57c | 156.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7657backed No | 73c | 137.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 60c | 123.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 72c | 123.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 46c | 121.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…d36cbacked Yes | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 42c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 55c | 109.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed No | 46c | 108.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 53c | 107.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 102.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.