TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,559 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Under26c8,653$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,403.140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over73c4,110$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.33464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c4,051$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.3793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over37c2,940$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c2,872$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.7996942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under17c2,750$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.52951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over73c2,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.153167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over74c1,980$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.28042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c1,760$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.9316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over47c1,500$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.83040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c1,457$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de0…f7f1backed Over71c1,416$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over69c1,300$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.988957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c1,185$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.782,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under55c1,014$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over74c1,003$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7305064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under28c936.63$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.5826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Over72c934.04$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.513125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under17c853.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.677025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under32c850$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under26c782.63$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.9840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over72c694.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over48c627.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over68c600$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40811268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over74c542.42$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over73c499.97$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over66c499.95$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.972065%13 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over66c498.8$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over48c461.25$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under26c443$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.8237250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under32c421.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over74c405.41$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cac…1695backed Under18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over78c382.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.185768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under26c379.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Under27c331.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.194447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over53c320$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over45c315$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6714549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over64c313.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Under27c307$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.111080%8 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+80.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Over38c264.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.333571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0caa…c95cbacked Over72c232.59$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over77c228.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.419750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over64c227$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.651353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over67c223.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under26c194.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over76c185.46$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.866245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over77c169.84$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over66c151.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b3…1df1backed Over74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under26c149.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.83638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under28c148.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0114553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Under27c145.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.962871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over74c143.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.783161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4130…ff0dbacked Over55c143$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.22458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Under36c136.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.471070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over78c135.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…1c79backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over75c126.01$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6218055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under28c125.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.08450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+168.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…84c5backed Over74c114.27$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.51675%12 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7345547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x266a…15d3backed Over74c94.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under68c93.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.15757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over73c89.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick66cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under26c78.73$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.921251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under40c75.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.764136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Over73c71.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa99…2281backed Over73c68.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42e0…fbb1backed Over74c67.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over74c67.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54ee…0d73backed Under57c64.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Over70c64.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.932714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Over37c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c63.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507262.5%45 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc8…7309backed Over74c60.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over51c60.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.976349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over51c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.33956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over54c55.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over72c54.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3346047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce1…19f3backed Over74c54.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under42c53.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.384261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.