Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817448ba45337b5d209ce506cd7a623137c1c9734ac054cbed0638fcaba4ffaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AC Milanof FC Internazionale Milano, AC Milan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6297…1302backed FC Internazionale Milano | 5c | 2,425$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed FC Internazionale Milano | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f0…7952backed FC Internazionale Milano | 5c | 468.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 15c | 302.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…c15fbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed AC Milan | 80c | 225.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 16c | 192.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7f…a305backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 157.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…c00dbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…5c5cbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 92.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed FC Internazionale Milano | 19c | 72.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed FC Internazionale Milano | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)this page
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.