TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,128 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over47c242,325$113,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113,392.918743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under53c230,282$122,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,998.169350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under54c44,116$23,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,293.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c23,402$12,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,065.1433148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over47c21,362$10,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,059.078042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over46c16,500$7,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,590450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3503100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over47c12,142$5,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,736.4896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7605550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over47c7,000$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2901154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under59c6,044$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52b…b156backed Under54c5,257$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c4,841$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.6598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c4,785$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.172,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under53c4,210$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.093046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c4,195$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.515653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under53c3,780$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.68354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Over46c3,461$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4104040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over47c2,919$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c2,708$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under52c2,600$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.995052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Over46c2,374$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over48c2,332$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.171926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,023$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under53c1,966$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.3340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over46c1,265$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.73040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c1,241$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.7626040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c1,207$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.288752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over49c1,172$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.491747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over50c1,114$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5573348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over46c1,060$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.573167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808463.1%53 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Over46c943.6$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under51c894$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.062951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over48c823.08$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.084242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9f…8662backed Over46c821.05$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.671060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.717749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over29c775.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over27c750$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under52c692.31$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.312755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over49c609.82$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over29c607.42$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6916838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under54c599.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2767558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under54c599.99$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.1812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c567.97$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.33050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over41c543.33$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.737742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c527.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.659937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under54c454.18$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.927025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over39c451.28$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1764344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under51c451$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under55c440$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.081656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over41c431.71$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over41c412$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.221353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c407.74$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over46c405.93$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.734623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c366$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.87220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Over45c362.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.083125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under52c334.54$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c334.17$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14125556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14128556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Under54c280.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.362934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under55c273.22$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.226357.1%36 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e2…dc8fbacked Under55c270$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c268.67$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12513946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Over47c255.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.512048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.322740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over46c234.34$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8638739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under55c233.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.881952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0916851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c228.41$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…073fbacked Over51c224.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under53c224.49$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.333154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under53c220.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.110353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over41c218.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x416e…c4c6backed Over48c210.42$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc9…7fe4backed Over12c209.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.