Serie A · resolved market
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c35dde63d33cf9e96eee6384d7fdd3865b4dff45b9450ec73b7ea4f6847af78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,631 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 4,983$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.2 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 76c | 2,640$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 72c | 1,484$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.43 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,404$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.82 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Under | 75c | 994.17$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…498cbacked Under | 78c | 702.56$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 27c | 659.26$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Under | 77c | 529.33$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 11c | 290.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 20c | 220.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 75c | 200.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 28c | 143.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 24c | 136.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 75.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 26c | 72.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed1…d1a5backed Under | 76c | 60.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 76c | 57.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 28c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 74c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Over | 26c | 49.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 74c | 46.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 78c | 42.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…1e38backed Under | 75c | 39.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 76c | 33.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 73c | 30.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa551…919cbacked Under | 75c | 21.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b9…d77cbacked Under | 79c | 17.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)AC Milan won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.