TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$777,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,710 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over51c160,979$82,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,886.82835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c41,859$20,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,498.5583440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3507261.1%44 W · 28 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over46c2,910$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.387138%27 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under50c2,558$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.8638747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over58c1,496$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7322054.1%119 W · 101 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,023$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.162,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…30fcbacked Under54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c973.73$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.3498552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over54c926.89$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.374961.2%30 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over18c699.11$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.9213626.5%36 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c658.33$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.786972.5%50 W · 19 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under49c550.62$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22526949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd98f…4273backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over39c485.82$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8222727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.199030%27 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over42c380.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over53c364.22$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.222552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Under49c332.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0391…ef9bbacked Over19c263.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.16933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958873.9%65 W · 23 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under80c207.77$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.592,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over57c203.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.533250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Over19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.061216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under52c173.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over60c165.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.239850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under42c148$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over14c133.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.697832.1%25 W · 53 L+12.8wins+0.16per pick16cpaid+246%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over18c133.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.334930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c131.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4831661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0520241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over59c112.21$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0122349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under49c110.74$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over19c109.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4711553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under59c108.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6950146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Over58c102.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.132470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x979d…87dcbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6737149.6%184 W · 187 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over43c90.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.74839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under22c85.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under48c82.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407450%37 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9727864.4%179 W · 99 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Under62c80.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c71.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.848650%43 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over43c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.698253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over56c64.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5811359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.837647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7649…a58dbacked Under49c63.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over60c63.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.332378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+30.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over19c63.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.164944.9%22 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c38…3d15backed Over71c63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.273647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.243444.1%15 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under49c55.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over45c55.34$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.341346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3116725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over21c48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9238147.5%181 W · 200 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over46c45.65$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6512047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Under49c45.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.371816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over49c44.23$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa2…9378backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under49c40.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over36c39.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.66238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over42c36.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under51c34.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf9…1646backed Over49c32.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.653669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.210734.6%37 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ee…0d73backed Under49c28.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over58c26.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.953473.5%25 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94b6…5f6ebacked Under49c25.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210345.6%47 W · 56 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over51c21.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7213653.7%73 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c19.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7918848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6321767.7%147 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd400…28b8backed Under78c15.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.