Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba5a27cf8047546c6ff8ded4d776a28831399e1272bcd323b1b3452966dbd7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,525 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 27c | 14,637$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.54 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 74c | 13,513$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.38 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 39c | 4,375$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.73 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 3,814$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.97 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 1,992$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,616$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 1,159$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 37c | 783$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.29 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 461.51$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 38c | 363.16$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 354.51$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 254.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 39c | 253.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 237$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 229.85$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Under | 62c | 202.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 115.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…af5dbacked Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…5f3dbacked Over | 72c | 80.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 75c | 64.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 59c | 64.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 64c | 57.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 61c | 49.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 45.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 39c | 41.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 61c | 41.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 39.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…9378backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 64c | 29.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 64c | 28.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…adbabacked Over | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…a014backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…abd4backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…94babacked Under | 59c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 60c | 23.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 64c | 20.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.