Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc313df4d61bd89b99c642594361f7539ff0fc835b4f74de763003857f8139b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 1,807$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.62 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 3c | 1,233$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 969.91$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.85 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 611.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 61c | 599.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 565.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 71c | 542.21$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 36c | 472.51$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 46c | 419.59$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 51c | 232.96$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 47c | 213.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 52c | 193.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 160.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 39c | 153.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked No | 57c | 141.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 45c | 110.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 49c | 105.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ee3dbacked Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…6dacbacked Yes | 45c | 90.46$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 53c | 73.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 44c | 72.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 61c | 65.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 55c | 57.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 45c | 49.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes | 45c | 44.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…82cabacked Yes | 80c | 41.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…8973backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes | 54c | 40.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…02b7backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Yes | 50c | 39.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 46c | 31.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 29.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…9a7fbacked Yes | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…7fdfbacked Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…e797backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 48c | 22.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.