NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eeb613235a1ec4758c5dd5e02f53e5a6983f65a2c499b066dfbf80bb958281f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Hurricanes, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hurricanes | 45c | 7,815$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.32 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Hurricanes | 45c | 6,631$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.94 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Flames | 55c | 6,625$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.06 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 55c | 6,041$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.81 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flames | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 55c | 1,909$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 55c | 1,569$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hurricanes | 44c | 1,520$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.54 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 42c | 1,210$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.25 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 55c | 932.9$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.15 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Flames | 58c | 710$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Flames | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes | 55c | 609.89$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.86 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Hurricanes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Flames | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hurricanes | 45c | 319$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hurricanes | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.21 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hurricanes | 44c | 296.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Flames | 57c | 254.37$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Hurricanes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Hurricanes | 44c | 227.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flames | 64c | 157.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Hurricanes | 44c | 119.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Flames | 62c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes | 57c | 113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hurricanes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Hurricanes | 45c | 96.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…f9d5backed Flames | 58c | 82.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Flames | 43c | 72.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Hurricanes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Flames | 57c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flames | 37c | 50.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hurricanes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Hurricanes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Flames | 58c | 46.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Hurricanes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Flames | 57c | 43.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Hurricanes | 55c | 39.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…0d73backed Flames | 57c | 38.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Flames | 56c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…2db8backed Flames | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flames | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…9315backed Hurricanes | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlamesFlames won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.